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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-trader
Description
Build and analyze a BTC 1h Up/Down trading strategy anchored to Binance BTCUSDT, applying edge thresholds, regime filters, and detailed trade validation.
Usage Guidance
Install only if you are comfortable with a skill that can influence trading decisions. Run it against the intended PaperBot events.jsonl file, avoid logs containing secrets, install any needed Python dependency from trusted sources, and require explicit confirmation before any real Polymarket trade or account action.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-trader
Version: 1.0.0
The skill bundle is designed to analyze and tune a Polymarket trading strategy using Binance data. All scripts (`binance_klines.py`, `binance_regime.py`, `explain_fills.py`) interact with the public Binance API to fetch market data and `explain_fills.py` reads a specific local log file (`events.jsonl`) from the agent's workspace. While `explain_fills.py` contains a hardcoded absolute default path for `events.jsonl`, this path points to a non-sensitive file within the expected operational scope of the skill, and it's a default argument that can be overridden. There is no evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, persistence, prompt injection against the agent, or obfuscation. The behavior is clearly aligned with the stated purpose.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The purpose and artifacts are coherent: SKILL.md describes Polymarket BTC 1h Up/Down strategy analysis, while the scripts fetch Binance market data, compute regime metrics, and explain fill logs. Because the guidance can influence financial decisions, users should treat it as analysis rather than automated trading advice.
Instruction Scope
The instructions include entry, exit, and risk rules, but the bundled code does not place trades, use Polymarket credentials, mutate accounts, or automate execution. Real-money actions would require separate tooling and explicit user control.
Install Mechanism
There is no automatic install or persistence flow. One helper imports python-dateutil without an accompanying dependency declaration, which is an under-declared setup requirement rather than hidden behavior.
Credentials
Network access is limited to the public Binance API, and local file access is limited to an events.jsonl path that is disclosed and overrideable for fill-log analysis.
Persistence & Privilege
The artifact shows no background worker, startup hook, privilege escalation, credential storage, file deletion, file writing, or account mutation.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
polymarket-trader v1.0.0
- Initial release: toolkit for building and analyzing BTC 1h Up/Down trading strategies anchored to Binance BTCUSDT.
- Guides users through confirming market type, computing anchor signal, and applying edge-based entry criteria.
- Includes workflow for model and mean-reversion entries with detailed logging for trade validation.
- Provides utility scripts for fetching Binance klines, regime analysis, and fill explanation.
- Reference materials supplied for model math and parameter tuning.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Trader?
Build and analyze a BTC 1h Up/Down trading strategy anchored to Binance BTCUSDT, applying edge thresholds, regime filters, and detailed trade validation. It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 4709 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Trader is completely free (open-source). You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Trader support?
Polymarket Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Trader?
It is built and maintained by drakec48 (@drakec48); the current version is v1.0.0.
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