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在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install threshold-trader
功能描述
Automatically trades prediction markets when prices deviate beyond your configured probability threshold with Kelly Criterion sizing and safety checks.
安全使用建议
This skill appears to be what it says: a trading template that requires only your SIMMER_API_KEY and the simmer-sdk. Before installing: 1) Confirm you trust the Simmer service and the source of this skill; 2) Keep the API key secret (the skill will use it to place trades); 3) Run in 'sim' (paper) mode first — the code defaults to dry-run but can place real trades with --live; 4) Note the automaton cron will run every 15 minutes when managed by the platform, so disable automation or avoid enabling live mode until you’ve tested; 5) If you have concerns, review the threshold_trader.py code (it’s contained in the bundle) or run it in an isolated environment first. Also be aware of a small metadata inconsistency: the top-level summary in the provided manifest claims 'no required env vars' but the code and clawhub.json require SIMMER_API_KEY.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: threshold-trader
Version: 1.0.0
The skill bundle is a legitimate trading bot template for prediction markets using the simmer-sdk. The Python code (threshold_trader.py) implements standard trading logic, including Kelly Criterion position sizing, safety checks for slippage, and automated trade execution/redemption via a dedicated SDK. The shell scripts (publish.sh, quick-publish.sh) are standard utility scripts for deploying the skill to the ClawHub platform. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found; the handling of API keys and financial transactions is consistent with the skill's stated purpose.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
The skill claims to trade prediction markets and requires a Simmer API key and the simmer-sdk; the Python code calls SimmerClient methods (get_markets, trade, auto_redeem, etc.) which are appropriate for that purpose. There are no unrelated credentials or unexpected binaries requested.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md instructions and the Python code stick to market discovery, edge calculation, safety checks, sizing, execution, and redemption. Publish scripts call npx and git, but those are for publishing the package (not runtime trading). The runtime code does not read system files or unrelated environment variables beyond the declared configuration.
Install Mechanism
There is no download-from-URL install step. The package expects a pip dependency (simmer-sdk) and contains Python code; that is proportionate to its function. No extract-from-arbitrary-URL or non-standard binary installs are present.
Credentials
The primary credential is SIMMER_API_KEY (declared in clawhub.json and used by the code). Other env vars are non-sensitive configuration (thresholds, venue, sizing). Note: top-level metadata in the evaluation header said 'Required env vars: none' which contradicts clawhub.json and the SKILL.md; the actual code requires SIMMER_API_KEY.
Persistence & Privilege
clawhub.json configures an automaton with cron '*/15 * * * *' and an entrypoint, so when installed the agent runtime may schedule scans every 15 minutes. By default the script is dry-run unless run with --live; automated scheduling combined with enabling live mode could execute real trades (financial impact), so users should be deliberate about running with live enabled.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install threshold-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/threshold-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v1.0.0
Threshold Trader 1.0.0 – Initial Release
- Launches a simple template skill for probability-threshold prediction market trading.
- Trades when market prices diverge from your configured probability by a minimum edge amount.
- Features Kelly Criterion-based sizing, flip-flop and slippage safeguards, and automatic redemption.
- Fully configurable via environment variables; remixable for your own signals or models.
- Dry-run mode is default for safe testing; real trading requires explicit activation.
元数据
常见问题
Threshold Trader 是什么？
Automatically trades prediction markets when prices deviate beyond your configured probability threshold with Kelly Criterion sizing and safety checks. 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 47 次。
如何安装 Threshold Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install threshold-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Threshold Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Threshold Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Threshold Trader 支持哪些平台？
Threshold Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Threshold Trader？
由 skybinjf（@skybinjf）开发并维护，当前版本 v1.0.0。
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