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Polymarket Supply Chain Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
444
总下载
0
收藏
1
当前安装
10
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-supply-chain-trader
功能描述
Trades Polymarket prediction markets focused on supply chain disruptions, port congestion, shipping delays, commodity prices, and logistics outcomes. Use whe...
安全使用建议
This package appears to do what it says: a Polymarket trading automaton that uses the Simmer SDK and requires SIMMER_API_KEY. Before installing or enabling live trading: 1) Confirm the registry metadata discrepancy (the repository requires SIMMER_API_KEY even though the top-level brief said none). 2) Verify the simmer-sdk pip package is from a trusted source (check its PyPI project page or vendor) and inspect any network behavior of that SDK if possible. 3) Start in paper/sim mode only and review logs/trades for several cycles before using --live. 4) Keep any live-capable SIMMER_API_KEY out of shared environments and rotate/revoke keys if you upload a live key accidentally. 5) If you need higher assurance, ask the skill author for the simmer-sdk origin and a short threat model for apply_skill_config() behavior (it may load settings from Simmer UI).
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-supply-chain-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to interact with Polymarket prediction markets related to supply chain and logistics. It features a transparent implementation in `trader.py` that includes safety mechanisms such as defaulting to paper trading (simulation mode) and requiring an explicit `--live` flag for financial transactions. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection were found in `SKILL.md` or the supporting configuration files.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
The skill is a Polymarket-focused trading bot and its code, tunables (SIMMER_*), and required SIMMER_API_KEY are coherent with that purpose. One mismatch: the registry summary at the top of the report listed 'Required env vars: none', but both SKILL.md and clawhub.json (and trader.py) require SIMMER_API_KEY — likely an out-of-date registry metadata entry.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery and trade execution via the Simmer SDK (SimmerClient). The skill reads only SIMMER_* env vars and market fields; it documents a safe default (paper trading) and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades. There are no instructions to read unrelated system files or to exfiltrate data to unknown endpoints in the repository.
Install Mechanism
This is instruction-first with a clawhub.json that lists a pip dependency ('simmer-sdk'). There is no arbitrary download URL or archive extraction. Requiring a pip package is reasonable for SDK usage but represents moderate risk: review or verify the simmer-sdk package source before installing.
Credentials
The only credential required is SIMMER_API_KEY (trading authority), which is appropriate and expected for a trading skill. The many SIMMER_* tunables are reasonable for trading parameters. No unrelated credentials or broad system secrets are requested by the code.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not always-installed (always:false), automaton.managed is true but autostart is false and cron is null — it will not run automatically on install. The skill does not modify other skills' configs. Default behavior allows autonomous invocation (platform default) but this is not combined with always:true or extra privileges.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-supply-chain-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-supply-chain-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.7
Wider thresholds, lower filters, add get_fast_markets + bulk scan, backward-compatible with older SDK
v1.0.6
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.5
### v1.0.5 – Adds disruption seasonality & conviction-based sizing
- Now sizes trades using conviction-based weighting, amplified by a built-in disruption bias (Q4 shipping seasonality, commodity predictability).
- Introduces a disruption bias multiplier with context-aware adjustments by category and season—no external data feeds required.
- Updates default market discovery to reflect bias-driven and conviction-based entry rather than basic mean-reversion.
- Expands the tracked keywords list to cover more supply chain, commodity, and chokepoint scenarios.
- Adds new tunables for YES/NO entry thresholds and minimum trade size.
- Clarifies sizing logic and risk parameter behaviors in documentation.
v1.0.4
- Clarified that the automaton cron is set to null and autostart is disabled; the skill won't run on a schedule until configured via Simmer UI.
- Expanded and simplified the explanation of execution modes: runs paper-only by default, real trading only if "--live" is explicitly passed.
- Updated credentials and environment variable documentation: now only SIMMER_API_KEY (not SUPPLY_ or other prefixes) is required, and strong warnings are present about live keys.
- Risk parameters ("tunables") are now SIMMER_-prefixed, matching the Simmer UI and secure loading practices.
- Dependency section revised for clarity; direct links to PyPI and GitHub for simmer-sdk and instructions to review source before going live.
v1.0.3
- No user-facing changes in this version.
- Internal version bump only; no file changes detected.
v1.0.2
- Added a dedicated "Safety & Permissions" section to SKILL.md, clarifying default to paper trading and explicit steps for live trading.
- Documented environment variable controls for risk parameters, allowing runtime overrides without code changes.
- Specified SDK source and usage instructions for secure credential management.
- No changes to strategy logic or trading functions; updates improve clarity and safety documentation.
v1.0.1
No user-facing changes in this release.
- Version incremented from 1.0 to 1.0.1
- No modifications detected in the skill files or documentation
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Supply Chain & Logistics Trader skill for Polymarket markets.
- Trades prediction markets focused on supply chain disruptions, shipping delays, commodity prices, and logistics events.
- Includes configurable risk parameters and liquidity safeguards.
- Uses keyword-based market discovery with a default signal, plus ideas for data-driven signal extensions.
- Runs every 15 minutes, supports up to 5 concurrent positions per agent.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Supply Chain Trader 是什么？
Trades Polymarket prediction markets focused on supply chain disruptions, port congestion, shipping delays, commodity prices, and logistics outcomes. Use whe... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 444 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Supply Chain Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-supply-chain-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket Supply Chain Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket Supply Chain Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Supply Chain Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket Supply Chain Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket Supply Chain Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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