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Polymarket Science Milestones Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
326
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
5
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-science-milestones-trader
功能描述
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on scientific breakthroughs, Nobel Prizes, physics discoveries, and research milestones. Corrects for systematic retail...
安全使用建议
Before installing: 1) Confirm the SIMMER_API_KEY requirement — registry metadata omitted it but trader.py and clawhub.json require it. Only provide an API key scoped with the minimum required permissions (ideally paper-trading-only key) and rotate/remove keys after testing. 2) Review and vet the simmer-sdk package (pip) since it will handle network calls and trade execution. 3) Test thoroughly in paper mode (default) and verify CLI/automation cannot be started in live mode accidentally. 4) Because the skill can place financial trades when enabled, treat autonomous invocation carefully and restrict who/what can invoke it. 5) If the skill's source/origin is unknown, ask the publisher for provenance or prefer installing only from a trusted source. If you want, I can list exact lines in trader.py and clawhub.json that require the API key and tunables.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-science-milestones-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a specialized Polymarket trading bot designed to trade on scientific research milestones and Nobel Prize predictions. It implements a 'hype-dampening' strategy in `trader.py` that uses keyword analysis to adjust trade conviction based on historical replication rates of specific scientific fields (e.g., fusion, superconductors, CRISPR). The code uses the `simmer-sdk` for market interaction, defaults to a safe paper-trading mode (simulation), and contains no evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
The skill's purpose (trading Polymarket markets) matches the code: trader.py uses a SimmerClient to discover markets and place trades. However the registry-level metadata in the evaluation header claimed no required environment variables, while clawhub.json and trader.py require SIMMER_API_KEY and pip dependency simmer-sdk. That metadata mismatch is a meaningful inconsistency (the skill will fail or behave unexpectedly unless SIMMER_API_KEY is provided).
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, sizing, and trade execution; they don't instruct reading arbitrary system files or exfiltrating unrelated secrets. The skill expects the agent to supply 'alpha' signals but the runtime instructions and code do not request unrelated system data.
Install Mechanism
There is no explicit platform install script, but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency (simmer-sdk). Installing a public pip package is a moderate-risk, common mechanism — acceptable if you trust simmer-sdk. There are no downloads from arbitrary URLs or obfuscated install steps in the provided files.
Credentials
The code requires SIMMER_API_KEY (os.environ["SIMMER_API_KEY"]) to create a SimmerClient; clawhub.json also lists SIMMER_API_KEY as a required env. That credential is proportionate to a trading bot, but the top-level 'Requirements' reported earlier stated no required env vars — a discrepancy. Also the skill reads and honors SIMMER_* tunables (non-secret risk limits); those are expected but should be reviewed. Ensure the API key scope/permissions are limited before provisioning.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false (good). The skill is automaton-managed (clawhub.json automaton.entrypoint -> trader.py) and can run autonomously; that's expected for a trading skill. It defaults to paper trading (venue='sim') by default, and real trades require an explicit --live flag, but if invoked with live mode it can execute real trades using the provided API key — which has financial risk and a larger blast radius than non-financial skills.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-science-milestones-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-science-milestones-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
- Adds systematic science "hype correction" and Nobel Prize calendar timing multipliers to trading logic.
- Expands and explains category-specific edge: retail overpricing of breakthrough claims (fusion, RT superconductors, AGI, cancer cure).
- Updates risk/tunable parameter defaults (volume, spread, max positions, trade thresholds).
- Integrates detailed signal logic for conviction sizing and science bias (with clear multipliers).
- Enriches documentation on market mispricing sources and historical context for trader edges.
- Clarifies that Clarivate Citation Laureates and other sources should inform signal, not only keywords.
v1.0.0
Science Milestones & Research Trader skill initial release:
- Trades on Polymarket science-related prediction markets using real-time signals from preprint servers and citation data.
- Defaults to safe paper trading mode; real trades only with explicit `--live` flag.
- Includes support for tuning risk and trading parameters via Simmer UI.
- Provides strategy templates for leveraging arXiv, Semantic Scholar, and Clarivate Laureates data.
- Requires SIMMER_API_KEY credential for operation.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Science Milestones Trader 是什么？
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on scientific breakthroughs, Nobel Prizes, physics discoveries, and research milestones. Corrects for systematic retail... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 326 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Science Milestones Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-science-milestones-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket Science Milestones Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket Science Milestones Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Science Milestones Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket Science Milestones Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket Science Milestones Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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