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Polymarket Pmxt Trader

Name: Polymarket Pmxt Trader
Author: senarokalie

作者 Lambang Sudiyanto · GitHub ↗ · v1.0.0 · MIT-0

cross-platform ⚠ suspicious

总下载

当前安装

版本数

在 OpenClaw 中安装

/install polymarket-pmxt-trader

功能描述

Trade Polymarket using PMXT cross-exchange predictions and orderbook data for entry/exit signals.

使用说明 (SKILL.md)

PMXT Cross-Exchange Trader

This is a template. Default signal: PMXT API price discovery across exchanges (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, etc.). Remix it with custom probability models, different signal sources, or alternative confidence scoring. The skill handles all plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides alpha.

What it does

Queries PMXT for active prediction markets, identifies bargains (entry threshold ≤45¢), and routes trades through Simmer SDK to Polymarket. PMXT aggregates orderbook depth, volume, and pricing across multiple exchanges, giving better signal quality than single-source price feeds.

Strategy

Fetch top trending markets from PMXT API
Filter by entry threshold (default ≤25¢ for strong buy, ≤45¢ for bargain)
Cross-check liquidity & volume (skip illiquid markets)
Check Simmer context for flip-flop warnings & slippage
Size position via Kelly with min EV threshold
Execute trade with reasoning tag

Configuration

Set via environment variables:

Variable	Default	Description
`PMXT_API_KEY`	—	PMXT API key (required)
`SIMMER_API_KEY`	—	Simmer SDK key (required)
`PMXT_ENTRY_THRESHOLD`	0.25	Max YES price to enter (cents)
`PMXT_EXIT_THRESHOLD`	0.45	Sell when price reaches this
`PMXT_MAX_POSITION_USD`	2.00	Max per-trade position
`PMXT_MIN_VOLUME`	10000	Min market volume USD
`PMXT_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN`	5	Trade count cap
`PMXT_CATEGORIES`	(any)	Optional category filter (Bitcoin,Sports,Politics)

Usage

# Dry run (default)
python pmxt_trader.py

# Live trading
python pmxt_trader.py --live

# Show positions only
python pmxt_trader.py --positions

# Smart sizing (Kelly-based)
python pmxt_trader.py --live --smart-sizing

Safeguards

Volume floor (skip illiquid markets)
Spread check via Polymarket CLOB
Flip-flop detection via Simmer context
Daily budget cap
Max position per trade
Resolution time check (skip markets resolving \x3C2h)

安全使用建议

Install only if you intentionally want an automated prediction-market trader using your PMXT and Simmer credentials. Keep it in dry-run or sandbox mode first, use limited/separate credentials, set very small position and trade caps, and do not enable `--live` unless you accept that it may place real-money trades without asking again.

能力标签

cryptorequires-walletrequires-sensitive-credentials

能力评估

ℹ Purpose & Capability

The PMXT market scanning, Simmer integration, position sizing, and Polymarket trade execution all match the stated trading purpose.

⚠ Instruction Scope

The skill documents `--live` trading but does not require a separate confirmation, approval token, or prominent acknowledgement before placing account-affecting trades.

ℹ Install Mechanism

The manifest requires Simmer and PMXT credentials and declares a managed cron entrypoint every 5 minutes; the default script run appears to be paper mode, but the scheduled trading posture is not clearly explained to users.

⚠ Credentials

The requested API keys and optional wallet private key are plausible for trading, but they grant sensitive financial/account access and the documentation under-discloses loss and credential-risk implications.

⚠ Persistence & Privilege

Recurring managed execution plus live trade capability creates repeated financial-action risk; safeguards exist, such as max position and trade count limits, but there is no clear emergency stop, daily loss cap implementation, or per-trade human approval.

如何使用

确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
在对话框中输入安装命令：/install polymarket-pmxt-trader
安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用 /polymarket-pmxt-trader 触发
根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出

版本历史

v1.0.0

Initial release of PMXT Cross-Exchange Trader. - Enables trading on Polymarket using price signals aggregated from multiple exchanges via PMXT. - Filters markets by entry/exit thresholds, liquidity, and volume for better trade quality. - Integrates Simmer SDK for trade execution and safeguards (flip-flop detection, slippage checks). - Supports Kelly-based position sizing with configurable limits. - Highly configurable via environment variables for thresholds, categories, and max trades. - Provides both dry-run and live trading modes.

元数据

Slug polymarket-pmxt-trader

版本 1.0.0

许可证 MIT-0

累计安装 0

当前安装数 0

历史版本数 1

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