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senarokalie

Polymarket Pmxt Trader

by Lambang Sudiyanto · GitHub ↗ · v1.0.0 · MIT-0
cross-platform ⚠ suspicious
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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-pmxt-trader
Description
Trade Polymarket using PMXT cross-exchange predictions and orderbook data for entry/exit signals.
README (SKILL.md)

PMXT Cross-Exchange Trader

This is a template. Default signal: PMXT API price discovery across exchanges (Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, etc.). Remix it with custom probability models, different signal sources, or alternative confidence scoring. The skill handles all plumbing (market discovery, trade execution, safeguards). Your agent provides alpha.

What it does

Queries PMXT for active prediction markets, identifies bargains (entry threshold ≤45¢), and routes trades through Simmer SDK to Polymarket. PMXT aggregates orderbook depth, volume, and pricing across multiple exchanges, giving better signal quality than single-source price feeds.

Strategy

  1. Fetch top trending markets from PMXT API
  2. Filter by entry threshold (default ≤25¢ for strong buy, ≤45¢ for bargain)
  3. Cross-check liquidity & volume (skip illiquid markets)
  4. Check Simmer context for flip-flop warnings & slippage
  5. Size position via Kelly with min EV threshold
  6. Execute trade with reasoning tag

Configuration

Set via environment variables:

Variable Default Description
PMXT_API_KEY PMXT API key (required)
SIMMER_API_KEY Simmer SDK key (required)
PMXT_ENTRY_THRESHOLD 0.25 Max YES price to enter (cents)
PMXT_EXIT_THRESHOLD 0.45 Sell when price reaches this
PMXT_MAX_POSITION_USD 2.00 Max per-trade position
PMXT_MIN_VOLUME 10000 Min market volume USD
PMXT_MAX_TRADES_PER_RUN 5 Trade count cap
PMXT_CATEGORIES (any) Optional category filter (Bitcoin,Sports,Politics)

Usage

# Dry run (default)
python pmxt_trader.py

# Live trading
python pmxt_trader.py --live

# Show positions only
python pmxt_trader.py --positions

# Smart sizing (Kelly-based)
python pmxt_trader.py --live --smart-sizing

Safeguards

  • Volume floor (skip illiquid markets)
  • Spread check via Polymarket CLOB
  • Flip-flop detection via Simmer context
  • Daily budget cap
  • Max position per trade
  • Resolution time check (skip markets resolving \x3C2h)
Usage Guidance
Install only if you intentionally want an automated prediction-market trader using your PMXT and Simmer credentials. Keep it in dry-run or sandbox mode first, use limited/separate credentials, set very small position and trade caps, and do not enable `--live` unless you accept that it may place real-money trades without asking again.
Capability Tags
cryptorequires-walletrequires-sensitive-credentials
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The PMXT market scanning, Simmer integration, position sizing, and Polymarket trade execution all match the stated trading purpose.
Instruction Scope
The skill documents `--live` trading but does not require a separate confirmation, approval token, or prominent acknowledgement before placing account-affecting trades.
Install Mechanism
The manifest requires Simmer and PMXT credentials and declares a managed cron entrypoint every 5 minutes; the default script run appears to be paper mode, but the scheduled trading posture is not clearly explained to users.
Credentials
The requested API keys and optional wallet private key are plausible for trading, but they grant sensitive financial/account access and the documentation under-discloses loss and credential-risk implications.
Persistence & Privilege
Recurring managed execution plus live trade capability creates repeated financial-action risk; safeguards exist, such as max position and trade count limits, but there is no clear emergency stop, daily loss cap implementation, or per-trade human approval.
How to Use
  1. Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
  2. Run the install command in chat: /install polymarket-pmxt-trader
  3. After installation, invoke the skill by name or use /polymarket-pmxt-trader
  4. Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
Initial release of PMXT Cross-Exchange Trader. - Enables trading on Polymarket using price signals aggregated from multiple exchanges via PMXT. - Filters markets by entry/exit thresholds, liquidity, and volume for better trade quality. - Integrates Simmer SDK for trade execution and safeguards (flip-flop detection, slippage checks). - Supports Kelly-based position sizing with configurable limits. - Highly configurable via environment variables for thresholds, categories, and max trades. - Provides both dry-run and live trading modes.
Metadata
Slug polymarket-pmxt-trader
Version 1.0.0
License MIT-0
All-time Installs 0
Active Installs 0
Total Versions 1
Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket Pmxt Trader?

Trade Polymarket using PMXT cross-exchange predictions and orderbook data for entry/exit signals. It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 46 downloads so far.

How do I install Polymarket Pmxt Trader?

Run "/install polymarket-pmxt-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.

Is Polymarket Pmxt Trader free?

Yes, Polymarket Pmxt Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.

Which platforms does Polymarket Pmxt Trader support?

Polymarket Pmxt Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).

Who created Polymarket Pmxt Trader?

It is built and maintained by Lambang Sudiyanto (@senarokalie); the current version is v1.0.0.

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