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Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
198
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader
功能描述
Trades Polymarket prediction markets that resolve near known calendar catalyst events (FOMC meetings, major tournament finals, geopolitical summits, crypto h...
安全使用建议
This skill appears to implement the stated Polymarket catalyst-trading strategy and defaults to paper trading, which is good. However: (1) the registry metadata provided at the top is inconsistent with the files—clawhub.json and SKILL.md require SIMMER_API_KEY while the top-level 'Requirements' claimed none; (2) trader.py reads additional environment variables (thresholds and minimum trade) that are not declared in the registry metadata/tunables, so verify what environment variables the runtime will expose; (3) the only external dependency is simmer-sdk (PyPI) — review that package before installing and ensure it is the official client; (4) run the skill in sim/paper mode first and inspect network activity/requests to confirm behavior; (5) if you decide to run live, create a dedicated SIMMER_API_KEY with the least privilege necessary and rotate it afterwards. If you want higher assurance, ask the author to correct the metadata (declare all env vars and tunables) and provide a short audit of the simmer-sdk dependency and its network endpoints.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill bundle implements an automated trading strategy for Polymarket that targets markets resolving near major calendar events (FOMC, sports finals, etc.). The code in trader.py is well-structured, implementing clear logic for 'coiled spring' markets and incorporating safety features such as slippage limits, spread gates, and a default paper-trading mode (venue='sim'). No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection were found; the script strictly uses the provided SIMMER_API_KEY for its stated purpose via the simmer-sdk.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
The name/description (calendar-catalyst trader for Polymarket) aligns with the included code (trader.py) and SKILL.md: the skill scans markets, matches resolution dates to a catalyst calendar, computes conviction, and places trades via a SimmerClient. Required runtime dependency (simmer-sdk) and use of a SIMMER_API_KEY are appropriate for a trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine activity to market discovery, catalyst matching, conviction calculation, and trade placement. The skill defaults to paper trading and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades. No instructions ask the agent to read arbitrary system files or send data to unexpected external endpoints; network activity is via the Simmer SDK (expected).
Install Mechanism
No arbitrary download URLs or archive extraction. clawhub.json lists a pip dependency (simmer-sdk). Installing PyPI packages is a normal, moderate-risk mechanism; there are no included remote installers or opaque binaries.
Credentials
clawhub.json and SKILL.md explicitly require SIMMER_API_KEY (appropriate). However, trader.py reads multiple environment variables that are not declared in the top-level registry metadata: e.g., SIMMER_YES_THRESHOLD, SIMMER_NO_THRESHOLD, SIMMER_MIN_TRADE, and others are read at runtime even though only a subset of tunables are listed in clawhub.json. Additionally, the skill listing at the top of the report said "Required env vars: none", which contradicts both SKILL.md and clawhub.json. This mismatch between declared and actual env usage increases the risk of surprising behavior or unnoticed secret access.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not always:true, autostart is false, and cron is null. Automaton.managed true with entrypoint trader.py is normal for an invocable trading skill. The skill does not request system-wide config changes or elevated platform privileges in the provided files.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw(本地或 Docker 部署)
- 在对话框中输入安装命令:
/install polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader - 安装完成后,直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入,即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
Initial release of Calendar Catalyst Trader skill for Polymarket.
- Trades prediction markets resolving near major scheduled events (e.g., FOMC, sports finals, geopolitical summits, crypto halvings, space launches).
- Targets markets near 50% odds during catalyst windows for high-movement opportunities, with conviction boosts based on macro analysis.
- Detects relevant markets through resolution dates and keyword matching against a calendar of known catalyst events.
- Applies category-based directional hints (e.g., bullish for crypto, bearish for geopolitical) to optimize position sizing.
- Includes built-in safeguards: defaults to paper trading, tunable risk controls, and no automatic execution until enabled in the Simmer UI.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader 是什么?
Trades Polymarket prediction markets that resolve near known calendar catalyst events (FOMC meetings, major tournament finals, geopolitical summits, crypto h... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件,目前累计下载 198 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader?
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader」即可一键安装,无需额外配置。
Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader 是免费的吗?
是的,Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader 完全免费,采用 MIT-0 许可证,可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader 支持哪些平台?
Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader 跨平台运行,可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用(cross-platform)。
谁开发了 Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader?
由 diagnostikon(@diagnostikon)开发并维护,当前版本 v0.0.3。
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