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Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
198
Downloads
0
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0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets that resolve near known calendar catalyst events (FOMC meetings, major tournament finals, geopolitical summits, crypto h...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to implement the stated Polymarket catalyst-trading strategy and defaults to paper trading, which is good. However: (1) the registry metadata provided at the top is inconsistent with the files—clawhub.json and SKILL.md require SIMMER_API_KEY while the top-level 'Requirements' claimed none; (2) trader.py reads additional environment variables (thresholds and minimum trade) that are not declared in the registry metadata/tunables, so verify what environment variables the runtime will expose; (3) the only external dependency is simmer-sdk (PyPI) — review that package before installing and ensure it is the official client; (4) run the skill in sim/paper mode first and inspect network activity/requests to confirm behavior; (5) if you decide to run live, create a dedicated SIMMER_API_KEY with the least privilege necessary and rotate it afterwards. If you want higher assurance, ask the author to correct the metadata (declare all env vars and tunables) and provide a short audit of the simmer-sdk dependency and its network endpoints.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill bundle implements an automated trading strategy for Polymarket that targets markets resolving near major calendar events (FOMC, sports finals, etc.). The code in trader.py is well-structured, implementing clear logic for 'coiled spring' markets and incorporating safety features such as slippage limits, spread gates, and a default paper-trading mode (venue='sim'). No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection were found; the script strictly uses the provided SIMMER_API_KEY for its stated purpose via the simmer-sdk.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The name/description (calendar-catalyst trader for Polymarket) aligns with the included code (trader.py) and SKILL.md: the skill scans markets, matches resolution dates to a catalyst calendar, computes conviction, and places trades via a SimmerClient. Required runtime dependency (simmer-sdk) and use of a SIMMER_API_KEY are appropriate for a trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine activity to market discovery, catalyst matching, conviction calculation, and trade placement. The skill defaults to paper trading and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades. No instructions ask the agent to read arbitrary system files or send data to unexpected external endpoints; network activity is via the Simmer SDK (expected).
Install Mechanism
No arbitrary download URLs or archive extraction. clawhub.json lists a pip dependency (simmer-sdk). Installing PyPI packages is a normal, moderate-risk mechanism; there are no included remote installers or opaque binaries.
Credentials
clawhub.json and SKILL.md explicitly require SIMMER_API_KEY (appropriate). However, trader.py reads multiple environment variables that are not declared in the top-level registry metadata: e.g., SIMMER_YES_THRESHOLD, SIMMER_NO_THRESHOLD, SIMMER_MIN_TRADE, and others are read at runtime even though only a subset of tunables are listed in clawhub.json. Additionally, the skill listing at the top of the report said "Required env vars: none", which contradicts both SKILL.md and clawhub.json. This mismatch between declared and actual env usage increases the risk of surprising behavior or unnoticed secret access.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not always:true, autostart is false, and cron is null. Automaton.managed true with entrypoint trader.py is normal for an invocable trading skill. The skill does not request system-wide config changes or elevated platform privileges in the provided files.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
Initial release of Calendar Catalyst Trader skill for Polymarket.
- Trades prediction markets resolving near major scheduled events (e.g., FOMC, sports finals, geopolitical summits, crypto halvings, space launches).
- Targets markets near 50% odds during catalyst windows for high-movement opportunities, with conviction boosts based on macro analysis.
- Detects relevant markets through resolution dates and keyword matching against a calendar of known catalyst events.
- Applies category-based directional hints (e.g., bullish for crypto, bearish for geopolitical) to optimize position sizing.
- Includes built-in safeguards: defaults to paper trading, tunable risk controls, and no automatic execution until enabled in the Simmer UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader?
Trades Polymarket prediction markets that resolve near known calendar catalyst events (FOMC meetings, major tournament finals, geopolitical summits, crypto h... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 198 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-macro-calendar-catalyst-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader support?
Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Macro Calendar Catalyst Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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