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Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
174
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader
功能描述
Trades distribution-sum violations in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket. Range bins for the same person and date range must sum to ~100% —...
安全使用建议
This skill appears to do what it says: detect distribution-sum and neighbor anomalies and trade them via the Simmer platform. Before installing or providing SIMMER_API_KEY: (1) verify the simmer-sdk package origin and version you will install; (2) review the full trader.py (the distributed snippet is consistent but truncated) to ensure no hidden behavior; (3) keep the skill in paper mode until you confirm behavior and risk limits; (4) treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value — only provide it if you trust the Simmer runtime and have reviewed access policies; (5) note the skill source/homepage is unknown — lower confidence than for packages with a public repo or maintainer contact.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to identify and trade mathematical inconsistencies (probability distribution violations) in social media post-count markets on Polymarket. The code in `trader.py` implements the logic described in `SKILL.md` using the `simmer-sdk`, including safeguards like a default paper-trading mode (`venue='sim'`) and risk-management tunables defined in `clawhub.json`. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the implementation: the code parses Polymarket post-count range markets, reconstructs distributions, detects sum and neighbor violations, and uses a Simmer client to paper- or live-trade. The required credential (SIMMER_API_KEY) and the declared pip dependency (simmer-sdk) are appropriate for a Simmer/Polymarket trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, parsing, violation detection, and trading via the Simmer SDK. The documentation emphasizes paper mode by default and that live trading requires an explicit --live flag. Instructions do not ask the agent to read unrelated files or arbitrary environment variables.
Install Mechanism
There is no custom download/install script; the manifest declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. Pip installs are normal for this use case, but pip packages are moderate-risk because they run arbitrary code during install — you should verify the simmer-sdk source and version before installing.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY and adjustable SIMMER_* tunables are used. Requesting a single platform API key is proportionate to a trading skill. The code reads only those env vars declared in clawhub.json.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and cron: null mean it will not run automatically by default. always is false. automaton.entrypoint is set so the platform can run it when invoked, which is expected. There is no attempt to modify other skills or system-wide settings.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader (v1.0.0).
- Detects and trades on probability distribution sum violations and neighbor anomalies in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket.
- Groups markets by person and date range, ensuring post-count bins sum to ~100%, and identifies mispriced bins.
- Executes simulated trades by default, with live trading available via a command line flag.
- Advanced tuning options and thorough risk controls via Simmer UI; supports multiple prominent public figures.
- Provides extensible template and signal logic for customizing market discovery, trade sizing, and signal generation.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader 是什么？
Trades distribution-sum violations in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket. Range bins for the same person and date range must sum to ~100% —... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 174 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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