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Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
174
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader
Description
Trades distribution-sum violations in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket. Range bins for the same person and date range must sum to ~100% —...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it says: detect distribution-sum and neighbor anomalies and trade them via the Simmer platform. Before installing or providing SIMMER_API_KEY: (1) verify the simmer-sdk package origin and version you will install; (2) review the full trader.py (the distributed snippet is consistent but truncated) to ensure no hidden behavior; (3) keep the skill in paper mode until you confirm behavior and risk limits; (4) treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value — only provide it if you trust the Simmer runtime and have reviewed access policies; (5) note the skill source/homepage is unknown — lower confidence than for packages with a public repo or maintainer contact.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to identify and trade mathematical inconsistencies (probability distribution violations) in social media post-count markets on Polymarket. The code in `trader.py` implements the logic described in `SKILL.md` using the `simmer-sdk`, including safeguards like a default paper-trading mode (`venue='sim'`) and risk-management tunables defined in `clawhub.json`. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the implementation: the code parses Polymarket post-count range markets, reconstructs distributions, detects sum and neighbor violations, and uses a Simmer client to paper- or live-trade. The required credential (SIMMER_API_KEY) and the declared pip dependency (simmer-sdk) are appropriate for a Simmer/Polymarket trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, parsing, violation detection, and trading via the Simmer SDK. The documentation emphasizes paper mode by default and that live trading requires an explicit --live flag. Instructions do not ask the agent to read unrelated files or arbitrary environment variables.
Install Mechanism
There is no custom download/install script; the manifest declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. Pip installs are normal for this use case, but pip packages are moderate-risk because they run arbitrary code during install — you should verify the simmer-sdk source and version before installing.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY and adjustable SIMMER_* tunables are used. Requesting a single platform API key is proportionate to a trading skill. The code reads only those env vars declared in clawhub.json.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and cron: null mean it will not run automatically by default. always is false. automaton.entrypoint is set so the platform can run it when invoked, which is expected. There is no attempt to modify other skills or system-wide settings.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader (v1.0.0).
- Detects and trades on probability distribution sum violations and neighbor anomalies in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket.
- Groups markets by person and date range, ensuring post-count bins sum to ~100%, and identifies mispriced bins.
- Executes simulated trades by default, with live trading available via a command line flag.
- Advanced tuning options and thorough risk controls via Simmer UI; supports multiple prominent public figures.
- Provides extensible template and signal logic for customizing market discovery, trade sizing, and signal generation.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader?
Trades distribution-sum violations in social media post-count range markets on Polymarket. Range bins for the same person and date range must sum to ~100% —... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 174 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-ladder-social-posts-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader support?
Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Ladder Social Posts Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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