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Polymarket Geopolitics Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
384
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
6
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-geopolitics-trader
功能描述
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on geopolitical events — wars, ceasefires, sanctions, diplomatic breakthroughs, and regime changes. Use when you want to...
安全使用建议
This package appears internally consistent for automated Polymarket trading, but take these precautions before installing or running live: 1) Verify the simmer-sdk package/repo (the manifest points to a GitHub project) so you trust the client library that will hold your API key. 2) Only provide SIMMER_API_KEY to code you trust—treat it as a high-value credential and confirm its scoped permissions (e.g., can it only trade, or can it withdraw funds?). 3) Keep autostart disabled and run initially in paper mode (default) to validate behavior. 4) Review and, if desired, lower tunables (MAX_POSITION, MAX_POSITIONS, MIN_TRADE) before enabling live trading. 5) If you need higher assurance, have a developer audit the remainder of trader.py (trade execution, error handling, logging) to confirm there is no unexpected network exfiltration or side-effects beyond Simmer/Polymarket API calls.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-geopolitics-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The polymarket-geopolitics-trader skill is a legitimate automated trading tool designed for prediction markets. It implements a transparent strategy based on geopolitical event types and regional news cycles using the simmer-sdk. The code in trader.py follows standard practices for the platform, including safety defaults (paper trading by default) and configurable risk parameters via clawhub.json. No indicators of malicious intent, data exfiltration, or unauthorized access were identified.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (geopolitical trading) align with what the package does: it discovers markets and places trades via a Simmer/Polymarket client. Required pieces (SIMMER_API_KEY and simmer-sdk) match the trading purpose and are expected.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py keep scope to market discovery, signal computation, and trade execution. The skill defaults to simulated ('sim') venue and only runs live when invoked with --live. Instructions don't request unrelated files or credentials.
Install Mechanism
This is an instruction-only skill with a single pip dependency declared (simmer-sdk) in clawhub.json. Using a PyPI package is normal for this function; verify simmer-sdk's provenance before installing (the manifest links a GitHub repo). There are no arbitrary download URLs or archive extracts.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (plus optional SIMMER_* tunables). The variables accessed by the code are consistent with trading configuration and are proportional to the declared purpose; no unrelated secrets are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false and always is not set; the skill is automaton-managed but will not run until the user enables it. Autonomous invocation is allowed by default (platform behavior) but not elevated beyond expected for a trading automaton.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-geopolitics-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-geopolitics-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.3
Wider thresholds, lower filters, add get_fast_markets + bulk scan, backward-compatible
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
- Enhanced default trading logic: now uses conviction-based sizing and an explicit `geopolitics_bias()` function, correcting for fear premiums and regional news timing lags without external APIs.
- Expanded explanation of structural edge: details how retail traders misprice geopolitical risk and how bias multipliers are applied by event type and timezone.
- Listed specific event-type and timezone multipliers for market correction, with examples and cap/floor logic.
- Added an explicit list of monitored keywords for more transparent market discovery.
- Updated tunables table with new and adjusted default risk parameters (trade size, thresholds, market volume, etc.) for greater clarity.
- Removed the "Edge Thesis" and reorganized documentation for improved strategy transparency and practical use.
v1.0.0
- Initial release of the Geopolitics & Conflict Trader skill template for Polymarket.
- Enables trading on geopolitical prediction markets (wars, ceasefires, sanctions, diplomatic breakthroughs, regime changes).
- Features keyword-based market discovery and probability-extreme detection by default; supports integration with advanced data sources (GDELT, ACLED, UN, ICG).
- Emphasizes safety: defaults to paper trading mode, with live trades only when explicitly enabled.
- Risk parameters and sim/live modes are fully configurable from the Simmer UI.
- Requires SIMMER_API_KEY credential and depends on the simmer-sdk Python package.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Geopolitics Trader 是什么？
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on geopolitical events — wars, ceasefires, sanctions, diplomatic breakthroughs, and regime changes. Use when you want to... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 384 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Geopolitics Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-geopolitics-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket Geopolitics Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket Geopolitics Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Geopolitics Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket Geopolitics Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket Geopolitics Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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