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Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader

作者 diagnostikon · GitHub ↗ · v0.0.3 · MIT-0
cross-platform ✓ 安全检测通过
179
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader
功能描述
Trades temporal inconsistencies across geopolitical markets with different deadlines. When P(event by later date) < P(event by earlier date), the later-deadl...
安全使用建议
This skill appears internally consistent for automated trading: it legitimately needs SIMMER_API_KEY and the simmer-sdk client. Before installing or running with real funds, do the following: (1) Run it in the default paper/sim mode to verify behavior. (2) Review the simmer-sdk package source (GitHub/PyPI) to ensure it’s the expected client and not malicious. (3) Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value—use least-privilege credentials if possible and rotate/regenerate keys if you later revoke access. (4) Do not run with --live until you’ve tested signal logic, risk parameters, and limits in paper mode. (5) Note the publisher/homepage are absent—exercise caution and prefer packages with a known, audited upstream when handling real funds.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill Name: polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader Version: 0.0.3 The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to identify and exploit mathematical inconsistencies (temporal monotonicity and logical inversions) in geopolitical prediction markets on Polymarket. The code in `trader.py` implements the strategy described in `SKILL.md` using the `simmer-sdk`, featuring robust safety mechanisms such as a default paper-trading mode (`venue='sim'`), slippage checks, and configurable risk parameters. No evidence of malicious intent, data exfiltration, or prompt injection was found; the script strictly interacts with the designated trading API using provided credentials.
能力标签
cryptorequires-sensitive-credentials
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description claim arbitrage trading on geopolitical deadline markets. The package only requires a trading API key (SIMMER_API_KEY) and the simmer-sdk client and contains code to discover markets, parse deadlines/themes, compute signals, and place trades. These requirements are consistent with the trading purpose.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py focus on market discovery, parsing, sizing, and execution. The runtime instructions and code only read SIMMER_* tunables from environment variables and use the SimmerClient to interact with the trading venue. There are no instructions to read unrelated files, system credentials, or to transmit data to unexpected endpoints in the provided files.
Install Mechanism
No explicit installer script is included; clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' (PyPI). Installing third‑party packages from PyPI is expected for this use case but is a moderate-risk operation compared with instruction-only skills because the package code will run locally—verify the simmer-sdk package source and integrity before installing.
Credentials
The only required credential is SIMMER_API_KEY (trading authority). The script also reads a set of SIMMER_* tunables (MAX_POSITION, MIN_TRADE, etc.) which are declared in clawhub.json. The requested environment variables are proportional to a trading skill and are used as expected in the code.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not always-enabled (always: false), autostart and cron are disabled by default, and the code only attempts to apply its own skill config via SimmerClient.apply_skill_config (wrapped in a try/except). It does not modify other skills or system-wide settings. Live trading requires an explicit --live flag.
如何使用
  1. 确保已安装 OpenClaw(本地或 Docker 部署)
  2. 在对话框中输入安装命令:/install polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader
  3. 安装完成后,直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用 /polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader 触发
  4. 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入,即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader. - Scans Polymarket geopolitical markets to detect and trade on temporal monotonicity violations (when later-deadline probabilities are lower than earlier ones). - Identifies and flags diplomacy-escalation pricing inversions within conflicts. - Offers conviction-based trade sizing; supports both paper and live trading modes. - All key strategy logic, safety limits, and risk tunables clearly documented for user customization.
元数据
Slug polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader
版本 0.0.3
许可证 MIT-0
累计安装 0
当前安装数 0
历史版本数 4
常见问题

Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader 是什么?

Trades temporal inconsistencies across geopolitical markets with different deadlines. When P(event by later date) < P(event by earlier date), the later-deadl... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件,目前累计下载 179 次。

如何安装 Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader?

在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-geopolitics-deadline-cascade-trader」即可一键安装,无需额外配置。

Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader 是免费的吗?

是的,Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader 完全免费,采用 MIT-0 许可证,可自由下载、安装和使用。

Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader 支持哪些平台?

Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader 跨平台运行,可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用(cross-platform)。

谁开发了 Polymarket Geopolitics Deadline Cascade Trader?

由 diagnostikon(@diagnostikon)开发并维护,当前版本 v0.0.3。

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