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Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
201
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-48h-price-curve-arb-trader
功能描述
Trades structural mispricings in crypto price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution curve across multiple strike levels an...
安全使用建议
This skill appears to be what it says: an arbitrage trader that uses the simmer-sdk and requires a SIMMER_API_KEY. Before installing: (1) only provide a SIMMER_API_KEY you trust and that has limited/revocable permissions; (2) test thoroughly in paper mode (default) and verify behavior before using --live; (3) audit or sandbox the simmer-sdk dependency (it will be installed via pip); (4) confirm clawhub.json is the authoritative manifest (the prompt header contradicted it); (5) be aware of financial risk when enabling live trading and rotate/revoke the API key if you stop using the skill.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-48h-price-curve-arb-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill implements a legitimate mathematical arbitrage strategy for Polymarket price-threshold markets, focusing on detecting monotonicity and range-sum inconsistencies in implied probability curves. The implementation in `trader.py` aligns perfectly with the strategy described in `SKILL.md`, utilizing the `simmer-sdk` for market data and trade execution. There are no signs of malicious behavior, data exfiltration, or prompt injection; the code includes safety features like a default simulation mode and risk-management tunables defined in `clawhub.json`.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
The skill's name/description (price-curve arbitrage on Polymarket) matches the included trader.py and SKILL.md. The files show market-discovery, curve construction, violation detection, and trade execution via Simmer — all coherent with the stated purpose. Note: the top-level registry summary in the prompt said "Required env vars: none", but clawhub.json and SKILL.md both require SIMMER_API_KEY; the file-level manifests are internally consistent and appropriate for a trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit scope to discovering Polymarket price-threshold markets, building implied-CDF curves, ranking violations, and placing trades through Simmer. The skill reads only its configured SIMMER_* tunables and the SIMMER_API_KEY, and it defaults to venue="sim" (paper) unless --live is used. There are no instructions to read arbitrary user files, system credentials, or to send data to unexpected external endpoints.
Install Mechanism
There is no install script, but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' (PyPI + GitHub referenced). Installing one PyPI SDK is proportional for a broker/venue client; this is moderate-risk (standard for integration), not the high risk of arbitrary URL downloads.
Credentials
The only required secret is SIMMER_API_KEY (declared in SKILL.md and clawhub.json) and several tunable SIMMER_* variables. Requesting a single API key to a trading/broker SDK is proportional to the bot's functionality. The key is high-value (trading authority) and should be treated accordingly.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false, cron is null, and always is not set. The automaton entrypoint is trader.py but nothing runs automatically by default. The skill can be invoked autonomously by the agent (normal default) but it does not demand permanent or elevated platform privileges.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-48h-price-curve-arb-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-48h-price-curve-arb-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 48h Price Curve Arbitrage Trader.
- Detects and trades arbitrage opportunities from structural mispricings in Polymarket crypto price-threshold markets.
- Reconstructs implied probability distribution curves and flags monotonicity breaks and range-sum inconsistencies.
- Includes fully pipelined market discovery, curve construction, violation ranking, and trade execution with tunable risk controls.
- Defaults to safe paper trading; requires explicit flag for live trading.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader 是什么？
Trades structural mispricings in crypto price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution curve across multiple strike levels an... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 201 次。
如何安装 Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-48h-price-curve-arb-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket 48h Price Curve Arb Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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