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Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
186
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当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-48h-geopolitics-cluster-trader
功能描述
Trades logical inconsistencies in geopolitical event clusters on Polymarket. Geopolitical markets form clusters where probabilities must satisfy constraints...
安全使用建议
This skill appears coherent for automated trading on Polymarket via the Simmer platform. Before installing: (1) Only provide SIMMER_API_KEY if you trust the Simmer integration and understand the key grants trading authority; keep funds limited. (2) Test extensively in paper/sim mode (default) and inspect or run the code in a safe environment before using --live. (3) Review the simmer-sdk package and its network behavior. (4) Keep autostart disabled until you are confident in behavior and tunables. (5) Rotate API keys and limit permissions if possible; never reuse high-privilege keys across unrelated tools.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-48h-geopolitics-cluster-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill bundle implements a legitimate trading strategy for Polymarket geopolitical event clusters, focusing on logical consistency arbitrage (e.g., strike-count monotonicity and prerequisite chains). The code in `trader.py` uses the `simmer-sdk` to interact with markets and includes robust safety features such as a paper-trading default mode, spread/liquidity gates, and risk-management tunables defined in `clawhub.json`. No evidence of malicious intent, data exfiltration, or unauthorized execution was found.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description = automated trading on Polymarket. The package requires SIMMER_API_KEY and depends on 'simmer-sdk' (clawhub.json). The Simmer client usage in trader.py matches the described trading functionality and tunables. Requested resources are proportional to a trading bot.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md describes market discovery, cluster detection, and trading; the included trader.py implements parsing, clustering, and client interactions. Instructions default to paper trading and only perform live trades with an explicit --live flag. SKILL.md and code do not direct the agent to read unrelated system files or external personal endpoints.
Install Mechanism
This is an instruction-only skill with one code file, and clawhub.json declares a pip dependency ('simmer-sdk'). No arbitrary downloads or extract steps are present. Installing a third-party Python package is expected for this purpose but increases runtime surface compared with a pure-instruction skill.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is declared as required. The code reads several tunable env vars with safe defaults; those are reasonable for risk control. The single required credential is directly related to trading authority and is therefore proportionate — but it is high-value and should be guarded.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and cron: null mean the skill does not run automatically out-of-the-box. The automaton entrypoint is set (trader.py) but managed; autonomous invocation is allowed by platform default and is not itself a problem. The package does not set always:true or request system-wide config changes.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-48h-geopolitics-cluster-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-48h-geopolitics-cluster-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader.
- Detects and trades logical inconsistencies in clusters of related geopolitical Polymarket events, such as strike-count, daily military action, and escalation markets.
- Implements checks for monotonicity violations, cross-region correlation, and prerequisite event chains.
- Supports risk controls and adjustable trade parameters through Simmer UI.
- Runs in paper (sim) mode by default, with live trading only available via explicit flag.
- No automatic execution; must be started manually or configured via Simmer UI.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader 是什么？
Trades logical inconsistencies in geopolitical event clusters on Polymarket. Geopolitical markets form clusters where probabilities must satisfy constraints... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 186 次。
如何安装 Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-48h-geopolitics-cluster-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket 48h Geopolitics Cluster Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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