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Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
197
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-24h-price-curve-arb-trader
功能描述
Trades structural mispricings in crypto price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution curve across multiple strike levels an...
安全使用建议
This skill appears internally consistent: it needs SIMMER_API_KEY and the simmer-sdk to query/execute trades, which matches its purpose. Before installing or running live: (1) keep it in paper mode until you review behavior; (2) verify the simmer-sdk package source/reputation and inspect its network behavior; (3) supply a least-privilege SIMMER_API_KEY (rotate it after testing) and avoid using production funds until you’ve validated decisions and sizing; (4) review any Simmer UI integrations and tunables to ensure limits (max position, min trade, max positions) match your risk tolerance.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-24h-price-curve-arb-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to identify and exploit mathematical inconsistencies (monotonicity and range-sum violations) in Polymarket price-threshold markets. The code in trader.py correctly implements the described strategy using the simmer-sdk, includes safety features like a default simulation mode, and lacks any indicators of data exfiltration, obfuscation, or malicious intent.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description = probability-curve arbitrage on Polymarket; the skill requires a Simmer SDK client and a Simmer API key to discover markets and place trades — this is appropriate and expected for the stated purpose.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py focus on market discovery, curve construction, violation detection, and trade execution. The instructions emphasize paper trading by default and require an explicit --live flag for real trades; there are no instructions to read unrelated files or exfiltrate data.
Install Mechanism
No custom install script; clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' which the code imports. A PyPI dependency is expected for this functionality but represents a moderate supply-chain risk relative to instruction-only skills — verify the package's reputation/source before installing.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (declared). The code also reads tunable environment variables (risk/size thresholds) which are proportional to a trading bot. There are no unrelated credentials or broad system config accesses.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and always:false — the skill will not run automatically by default. automaton.managed points to trader.py as an entrypoint (used by the Simmer runtime); this is reasonable for a trading skill but means the runtime could start it if configured. No evidence the skill modifies other skills or system-wide settings.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-24h-price-curve-arb-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-24h-price-curve-arb-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
Initial release of 24h Price Curve Arbitrage Trader skill:
- Detects and trades mathematical mispricings in Polymarket crypto price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve.
- Flags and exploits violations such as monotonicity breaks and range-sum inconsistencies between related "above"/"between" markets.
- Includes configurable risk parameters, safety defaults to simulated trading mode, and requires SIMMER_API_KEY for use.
- Provides out-of-the-box market discovery, curve construction, violation ranking, and automated trade execution.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader 是什么？
Trades structural mispricings in crypto price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution curve across multiple strike levels an... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 197 次。
如何安装 Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-24h-price-curve-arb-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket 24h Price Curve Arb Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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