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Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
197
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
4
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-24h-precipitation-range-trader
功能描述
Trades mispricings in precipitation-range markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution across bins for the same city and period, detecting...
安全使用建议
This appears to be a coherent Polymarket trading skill that intentionally defaults to paper trading and requires one high-value credential (SIMMER_API_KEY). Before installing: (1) confirm you trust the simmer-sdk pip package and inspect its source, (2) do not run the script with --live unless you intend to place real USDC trades and have reviewed risk/tunables, (3) restrict the SIMMER_API_KEY permissions and rotate it if you later uninstall the skill, and (4) if you want stricter safety, run initially in a sandboxed environment and review logs of any live execution.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-24h-precipitation-range-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a functional trading bot designed to identify and trade mathematical mispricings in Polymarket precipitation markets. The code in `trader.py` implements a clear strategy for detecting probability sum violations and monotonicity breaks using the `simmer-sdk`. It includes several safety features, such as defaulting to paper trading (simulation mode), slippage and spread safeguards, and configurable risk parameters via `clawhub.json`. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection were found.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the implementation: the code discovers precipitation-range markets, reconstructs distributions, detects sum/monotonicity violations, and places trades via a SimmerClient. Required artifacts (SIMMER_API_KEY, simmer-sdk) are appropriate for a trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, parsing, analysis, and trade execution via the Simmer API. The skill does not instruct reading unrelated system files or exfiltrating data to third-party endpoints. It explicitly defaults to simulation unless run with --live.
Install Mechanism
No external download URLs or extract steps; installation is via pip dependency 'simmer-sdk' declared in clawhub.json. Using a pip package is a common pattern but carries the usual supply-chain risks—review the simmer-sdk package/source before installing.
Credentials
The only required env var is SIMMER_API_KEY (declared). The script also reads tunable SIMMER_* variables from env which are declared as tunables in clawhub.json. Requesting a single trading API key is proportionate; treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value and scope permissions as appropriate.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and cron: null mean the skill will not run automatically by default. always is not set. The automaton entrypoint is declared but not autostarted — normal for an optional trading skill.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-24h-precipitation-range-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-24h-precipitation-range-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 24h Precipitation Range Trader for Polymarket
- Detects and trades on distribution-sum violations and monotonicity breaks in precipitation-range markets across multiple cities
- Reconstructs implied probability distributions from range bins and cumulative "more than X inches" markets
- Includes paper trading mode by default; live trading requires a command-line flag
- Configurable risk parameters (e.g., min/max trade size, thresholds, max open positions) via tunables
- Requires `simmer-sdk` for execution and market discovery
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader 是什么？
Trades mispricings in precipitation-range markets by reconstructing the implied probability distribution across bins for the same city and period, detecting... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 197 次。
如何安装 Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-24h-precipitation-range-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket 24h Precipitation Range Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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