Poisson Distribution

P(X = k) = (ฮปk · eโˆ’ฮป) / k!
Practical Examples

๐Ÿ“ž Call Center

Average 3 calls/hour. What is P(exactly 2 calls)?
ฮป=3, k=2

๐Ÿญ Product Defects

Average 4.5 defects/batch. P(6 defects)?
ฮป=4.5, k=6

๐Ÿ›’ Customer Arrivals

Average 10 customers/hour. P(8 arrive)?
ฮป=10, k=8

๐Ÿ› Software Bugs

Average 2 bugs/1k lines. P(0 bugs)?
ฮป=2, k=0

โšก Server Failures

Average 0.5 failures/month. P(1 failure)?
ฮป=0.5, k=1

๐Ÿ“ง Email Volume

Average 20 emails/day. P(15 emails)?
ฮป=20, k=15

About the Poisson Distribution
What is the Poisson Distribution?
The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that models the number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space, given a known constant mean rate.

Conditions for Use:
โ€ข Events occur independently of each other
โ€ข The average rate ฮป is constant over the interval
โ€ข At most one event occurs in an infinitesimally small sub-interval
โ€ข We count occurrences, not non-occurrences

Key Properties:
โ€ข Mean = ฮป, Variance = ฮป (mean equals variance is a hallmark of Poisson)
โ€ข For large ฮป (typically > 10), Poisson approximates Normal N(ฮป, ฮป)
โ€ข Poisson is the limit of Binomial when n is large and p is small