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Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
197
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0
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Active Installs
4
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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-24h-geopolitics-cluster-trader
Description
Trades logical inconsistencies in geopolitical event clusters on Polymarket. Geopolitical markets form clusters where probabilities must satisfy constraints...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears internally consistent and behaves like a trading template: keep your SIMMER_API_KEY secret and test exclusively in paper mode (no --live) until you're confident in behavior. Review the full trader.py source and simmer-sdk documentation before providing the API key to confirm the SDK's network endpoints and permissions. If you or a third party add external data feeds (news, satellite, scraping), re-evaluate scope and credentials — those integrations can introduce new risks. Finally: run initial tests in an isolated environment, monitor outgoing network calls, and limit live trading caps before enabling --live.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-24h-geopolitics-cluster-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill bundle implements a legitimate geopolitical arbitrage trading strategy for Polymarket using the simmer-sdk. The code in trader.py follows the logic described in SKILL.md, focusing on identifying logical inconsistencies in market clusters (e.g., strike counts and prerequisite events). It includes safety features such as a default paper-trading mode (venue='sim') and requires an explicit --live flag for real transactions, with no evidence of data exfiltration, obfuscation, or malicious intent.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (arbitrage on Polymarket geopolitical clusters) match the requested items: a single SIMMER_API_KEY credential and the simmer-sdk pip dependency declared in clawhub.json. The requested env vars, tunables, and SDK dependency are proportionate to a trading skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py describe market discovery, parsing, clustering, and trade execution. The instructions default to paper trading and require an explicit --live flag for real trades. Note: the doc calls this a template and suggests remixing with external feeds (news, satellite) — if a user extends the skill to ingest arbitrary external data, scope and risk increase; the provided instructions themselves do not perform unrelated file reads or credential harvesting.
Install Mechanism
No arbitrary downloads or extract steps. The manifest declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' which is an expected package for interacting with the Simmer platform. No install URLs, shorteners, or personal servers were used.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (declared in clawhub.json and SKILL.md). Tunables are exposed via env vars for risk parameters. No unrelated secrets, cloud credentials, or config paths are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false and autostart:false (cron:null) — the skill will not run automatically without user configuration. The automaton entrypoint is set but managed and not autostarting, which is expected for a trading bot template.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-24h-geopolitics-cluster-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-24h-geopolitics-cluster-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader.
- Detects and trades logical inconsistencies in clusters of related Polymarket geopolitical event markets.
- Supports monotonicity (cumulative strikes), correlation (cross-region actions), and prerequisite chain checks.
- Trades on detected violations, sizing position by conviction and providing configurable risk parameters.
- Paper trading enabled by default; real trading requires activation with `--live` flag.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader?
Trades logical inconsistencies in geopolitical event clusters on Polymarket. Geopolitical markets form clusters where probabilities must satisfy constraints... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 197 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-24h-geopolitics-cluster-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader support?
Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket 24h Geopolitics Cluster Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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