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Polymarket Weather Trader
作者
Simmer.Markets
· GitHub ↗
· v1.23.2
· MIT-0
6345
总下载
4
收藏
25
当前安装
46
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-weather-trader
功能描述
Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA (US) and Open-Meteo (international) forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's weather trading approach. Use...
安全使用建议
Install only if you intend to run an automated trading strategy and understand that --live can place real orders and lose funds. Prefer dry-run or TRADING_VENUE=sim first, use small caps, avoid sharing broad wallet credentials, and review imported markets and thresholds before any live run.
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
The skill's purpose is automated Polymarket weather trading using Simmer plus NOAA/Open-Meteo data, and the inspected code matches that purpose, including buy, sell, position, forecast, and market-discovery logic.
Instruction Scope
The invocation language is broad for a financial skill, but the artifact repeatedly states dry-run is the default and real trading requires the explicit --live flag; users should still avoid invoking it for general weather questions.
Install Mechanism
Installation requires simmer-sdk and a SIMMER_API_KEY, with an optional WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY for external-wallet trading; these are sensitive but coherent with the trading purpose and are disclosed.
Credentials
Network access to Simmer, Polymarket import endpoints through the SDK, NOAA, and Open-Meteo is proportionate for this strategy; automatic market import is scoped to Polymarket temperature markets but can expand what the strategy considers.
Persistence & Privilege
The manifest has no cron or autostart, and the code shows no hidden background worker; persistence is limited to explicit config updates via --set and normal account-side trading state when the user runs live mode.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw(本地或 Docker 部署)
- 在对话框中输入安装命令:
/install polymarket-weather-trader - 安装完成后,直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-weather-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入,即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v1.23.2
v1.23.2
- Internal documentation updated; SKILL.md revised for clarity and accuracy.
- Removed outdated file: skill-card.md.
- No changes to core logic or user-facing features.
v1.23.1
Disclose that the auto stop-loss can't catch gap-resolution on weather temperature markets (price gaps to ~0 at resolution); size for full loss.
v1.23.0
**v1.23.0 summary: Adds weather station name resolution for international markets & improved test coverage.**
- Adds support for resolving international weather station names, allowing trading on more global markets.
- Expands and refines test coverage, particularly for the station name resolver logic.
- Minor internal changes and cleanups in weather_trader.py and related modules.
v1.22.2
v1.22.2 — Adds station name resolution tests and internal improvements
- Added new test file: `tests/test_station_name_resolve.py` for validating station name resolution logic.
- Updated `weather_trader.py` with improvements related to station name handling.
- Updated documentation in `SKILL.md` and `CHANGELOG.md`.
- No changes to user-facing features or configuration.
v1.22.1
v1.22.1
- Documentation and metadata update.
- No strategy or logic changes; core functionality unchanged.
- SKILL.md revised for clarity and metadata bumped to 1.22.1.
v1.22.0
v1.22.0 expands test coverage and core logic reliability.
- Added tests for source agreement logic and preflight safeguards.
- Improved reliability of market source selection and validation.
- Bugfixes and internal improvements based on expanded test scenarios.
- Documentation and metadata update for new test files and logic.
v1.21.2
Polymarket Weather Trader v1.21.2
- Added top-level disclaimer reference and included `DISCLAIMER.md` for clarity on use and risk.
- Introduced a `tests/test_sources_none.py` test to improve source edge case coverage.
- Minor documentation updates/clarifications in SKILL.md.
- No changes to core trading logic.
v1.21.1
## Polymarket Weather Trader v1.21.1
- Minor release with documentation updates.
- No user-facing strategy or API changes.
- SKILL.md updated for accuracy and clarity.
v1.21.0
v1.21.0 introduces robust per-market weather station routing and expanded coverage for more accurate weather market trades.
- Each market now routes to the specific weather station named in its `resolution_criteria`, matching Polymarket's source rather than using a fixed default. If a station is not recognized, the market is skipped with a log message.
- Expanded NOAA station support: now covers KLGA, KJFK, KEWR, KNYC, KORD, KMDW, KSEA, KATL, KDAL, KDFW, KMIA, KBOS, KDCA, KIAD, KPHX, KLAS, KSFO, KLAX, KDEN, KMSP, KPHL.
- Added international Open-Meteo routing for Madrid, Milan, Amsterdam, Taipei, as well as previously supported cities.
- The skill now requires the new `?include=resolution_criteria` flag when calling `/api/sdk/markets` (supported as of 2026-05-03).
v1.20.1
v1.20.1 — ASI scanner reframe per engine v2.4.22 calibration. Adds Safety rails (read first) section surfacing the bounding contract (dry-run default, --live opt-in, $SIM paper sandbox, linked-wallet requirement, configurable caps, server-side stop-loss ON, strategy-side safeguards, reversibility). Genericizes risk monitor framing (stop-loss/take-profit thresholds described as configurable user settings — sidesteps a code-vs-DB-default divergence tracked in a separate platform consolidation). Drops named cross-skill link in Setup section. Strategy logic + env var contract unchanged from v1.20.0. Requires simmer-sdk >= 0.13.0.
v1.20.0
v1.20.0 — Phase 3 canary of skill catalog reshape. Migrated to simmer-sdk 0.13.0 helpers (SimmerClient.from_env() replaces direct os.environ reads). Removed dead AUTOMATON_* env reads (automaton retired 2026-04-20). Slimmed SKILL.md (303 → 203 lines): dropped duplicated wallet setup content, trimmed example output, reworded cross-skill reference. Strategy logic, env var contract for SIMMER_WEATHER_*, and TRADING_VENUE behavior unchanged. Requires simmer-sdk >= 0.13.0.
v1.19.2
Polymarket Weather Trader v1.19.2
- Updated skill version and metadata to 1.19.2 in documentation.
- No new features or user-facing changes noted.
- Documentation and configuration details remain unchanged since previous release.
v1.19.1
V2 migration (2026-04-28): updated troubleshooting copy to point users at the Wrap USDC.e → pUSD flow at simmer.markets/dashboard + docs.simmer.markets/v2-migration. Also refines clawhub.json envVars schema (WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY now correctly optional for managed-wallet users).
v1.18.3
Schema fix: primaryEnv + envVars with required:false for optional credentials. Clears OpenClaw 'disproportionate requirements' verdict.
v1.18.2
Declare WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY in requires.env for OpenClaw moderation alignment.
v1.18.1
SKILL.md content revision: frames paper mode and $SIM venue as test features. No code/config changes from 1.18.0.
v1.18.0
v1.18.0: clawhub.json autotune defaults realigned with code defaults (entry 0.15, exit 0.45, max , sizing 0.05); 7 additional tunables exposed for autotune (LOCATIONS, BINARY_ONLY, SLIPPAGE_MAX, MIN_LIQUIDITY, VOL_*); max_position_usd range tightened to [1,50] and sizing_pct to [0.01,0.25]; SKILL.md updated with server-side risk-monitor framing. No code behavior changes — tunable surface only.
v1.17.2
Add pip install simmer-sdk to setup flow
v1.17.1
Add auto_redeem() call at start of each cycle for external wallet support
v1.17.0
**v1.17.0 introduces dynamic position sizing using volatility targeting.**
- Adds volatility targeting mode: dynamically adjust trade size based on recent market volatility (enable with `--vol-targeting` or `SIMMER_WEATHER_VOL_TARGETING`).
- New configuration parameters: `SIMMER_WEATHER_TARGET_VOL`, `SIMMER_WEATHER_VOL_MAX_LEVERAGE`, `SIMMER_WEATHER_VOL_MIN_ALLOC`, and `SIMMER_WEATHER_VOL_SPAN` for managing volatility targeting behavior.
- Position size will decrease in high-volatility markets and increase (capped) in low-volatility markets.
- Volatility calculated with EWMA of log returns from price history.
- All previous features and safeguards remain available.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Weather Trader 是什么?
Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA (US) and Open-Meteo (international) forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's weather trading approach. Use... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件,目前累计下载 6345 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Weather Trader?
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-weather-trader」即可一键安装,无需额外配置。
Polymarket Weather Trader 是免费的吗?
是的,Polymarket Weather Trader 完全免费,采用 MIT-0 许可证,可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Weather Trader 支持哪些平台?
Polymarket Weather Trader 跨平台运行,可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用(cross-platform)。
谁开发了 Polymarket Weather Trader?
由 Simmer.Markets(@simmer)开发并维护,当前版本 v1.23.2。
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