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Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader
作者
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
185
总下载
0
收藏
0
当前安装
6
版本数
在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-twitter-bin-decay-trader
功能描述
Trades post-count bin markets by tracking elapsed time to identify mathematically dead bins that still hold residual probability. Requires SIMMER_API_KEY and...
安全使用建议
This skill appears to do what it says: it uses the Simmer SDK and an API key to discover markets and place trades, and defaults to paper trading unless you pass --live. Before installing: (1) correct or confirm the metadata discrepancy (the package files require SIMMER_API_KEY but the top-level summary omitted it), (2) inspect the simmer-sdk source on PyPI/GitHub to ensure the client behaves as expected and has no unexpected network or credential handling, (3) keep any live SIMMER_API_KEY out of environments where automation could run --live inadvertently, and (4) test thoroughly in paper/sim mode and constrain tunables (max position, min trade) before enabling live trades. If you need higher assurance, ask the publisher for a security audit or run the skill in an isolated account with limited funds.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-twitter-bin-decay-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot template for Polymarket post-count markets, designed to exploit time-decay mispricing. The code in `trader.py` implements mathematical viability checks for market bins and uses the `simmer-sdk` for execution, defaulting to a simulation (paper trading) mode unless a `--live` flag is explicitly provided. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found; the use of environment variables for API keys and risk parameters follows standard integration patterns for the OpenClaw platform.
能力标签
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description, SKILL.md, clawhub.json and trader.py all describe trading Polymarket post-count bin markets and require the Simmer SDK and SIMMER_API_KEY; those requirements are appropriate for the stated functionality.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine actions to market discovery and trading via the SimmerClient. The docs suggest optional remixing with Twitter scraping or APIs, but the shipped code does not perform unrelated file reads or exfiltrate data. The runtime uses only declared env vars and the Simmer SDK client.
Install Mechanism
No install script is included (instruction-only install assumed). The declared dependency is the publicly-published 'simmer-sdk' on PyPI/GitHub; this is reasonable but you should audit the simmer-sdk source before giving live credentials.
Credentials
The code uses a single primary secret (SIMMER_API_KEY) plus SIMMER_-prefixed tunables. That is proportionate to a trading skill. Note: the top-level summary in the evaluation metadata claimed 'Required env vars: none', whereas clawhub.json and SKILL.md explicitly require SIMMER_API_KEY — this metadata inconsistency should be corrected before install.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill does not request always:true, autostart is false, and the automaton entrypoint is managed but will not start automatically. disable-model-invocation is not set (normal). It does not attempt to modify other skills or system-wide configs.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-twitter-bin-decay-trader - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-twitter-bin-decay-trader触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.3
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.2
- Added metadata fields to the skill definition, including homepage, repository, required environment variables, and default execution mode.
- Updated the description to explicitly note simmer-sdk as a required dependency.
- Clarified installation requirements and dependency setup.
- No code or functionality changes; documentation and metadata updates only.
v1.0.1
- No functional changes detected in this version.
- Updated skill metadata: added the owner field and adjusted the version formatting in SKILL.md.
v1.0.0
Twitter Bin Decay Trader skill initial release:
- Automates trading in Twitter post-count bin markets by identifying and shorting “dead” bins with lingering probability.
- Uses elapsed time and posting rate to estimate which bins are mathematically eliminated or still viable.
- All key risk and trading parameters are tunable from the Simmer UI.
- Default mode is safe, paper trading; live trading requires explicit `--live` flag.
- Includes guidance for integrating real-time post counts and advanced signal improvements.
- Full install/setup instructions and dependency information provided.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader 是什么？
Trades post-count bin markets by tracking elapsed time to identify mathematically dead bins that still hold residual probability. Requires SIMMER_API_KEY and... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 185 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-twitter-bin-decay-trader」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket Twitter Bin Decay Trader？
由 diagnostikon（@diagnostikon）开发并维护，当前版本 v0.0.3。
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