Polymarket Mispricing Events

Detects mispricings on Polymarket by cross-referencing Kalshi and Manifold consensus probability, then trades the gap using Kelly criterion sizing. Enters wh...

This skill appears to do what it says: scanning public markets and placing trades through the Simmer SDK. Before installing, do the following: 1) Verify the simmer-sdk package is the official client and review its docs/source so you know what API scope the key allows. 2) Start with TRADING_VENUE=sim (paper) to confirm behavior and avoid real money loss. 3) Provide SIMMER_API_KEY only to an account with limited funds/permissions and rotate the key after testing. 4) Note the small doc/code mismatch: EVENTS_MISPRICING_MIN is used in code but not documented in SKILL.md—check intended behavior. 5) Audit network egress if you require strict controls (the skill calls Polymarket, Kalshi, Manifold, and Simmer endpoints). If you need higher assurance, request the full, non‑truncated source and a dependency manifest to review the Simmer SDK and third‑party packages.

Type: OpenClaw Skill Name: polymarket-mispricing-events Version: 1.0.0 The skill is a legitimate automated trading bot designed to arbitrage price differences between Polymarket, Kalshi, and Manifold. The logic in mispricing_events.py correctly implements fuzzy title matching and consensus-based probability estimation as described in SKILL.md. It uses the simmer-sdk for trading and includes standard risk management features like liquidity filters, spread checks, and Kelly criterion sizing. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found.