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在 OpenClaw 中安装
/install polymarket-kalshi-divergence
功能描述
Cross-platform arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket. Monitors 13 Kalshi event series (crypto, macro, politics) and compares prices to equivalent Polymarke...
安全使用建议
This skill is internally consistent with its stated purpose, but before installing consider: (1) Only provide a SIMMER_API_KEY if you trust Simmer.markets and understand what that key can do (it can place trades). Prefer keys with least privilege or test keys. (2) By default the script is dry-run, but the --live flag or setting TRADING_VENUE to a non-sim venue enables real trades—ensure cron/automaton runs won't be given live credentials unintentionally. (3) Review the simmer-sdk package and Simmer's API docs/policy to confirm no unexpected privileges (withdrawals, account changes). (4) Run locally in dry-run mode first and inspect logs and the exact API calls made. If you need higher assurance, review the full SimmerClient implementation (not included here) to confirm where trade requests are sent and what permissions are required.
功能分析
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-kalshi-divergence
Version: 2.0.5
The skill is a legitimate trading automaton designed for price arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket. It uses the official Kalshi API and the Simmer SDK (simmer-sdk) to identify and execute trades based on price divergence, with clear logic for risk management (slippage and flip-flop checks) and a default dry-run mode. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found in kalshi_divergence.py or SKILL.md.
能力评估
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the implementation: the script polls Kalshi public endpoints and uses SimmerClient to search Polymarket-equivalent markets and place trades. The declared dependency (SIMMER_API_KEY and simmer-sdk) is appropriate for interacting with Simmer, and requests is required to call Kalshi's API.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md runtime instructions map exactly to what the code does: scan Kalshi, match via SimmerClient.find_markets(), compute divergence, and call SimmerClient.trade() only if run with --live. The instructions do not ask the agent to read unrelated local files or secrets beyond the declared SIMMER_API_KEY.
Install Mechanism
This is instruction-only with a small set of pip dependencies (simmer-sdk, requests) declared in clawhub.json; no arbitrary downloads or extract/install steps are present. Risk from installation is low if you trust the pip packages used.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY (required) and optional trading/config env vars are requested, which is appropriate for placing trades via the Simmer service. Caution: an API key granting trading authority is powerful—ensure the key's permissions and trust in the Simmer provider are acceptable (e.g., whether it can place real trades or withdraw funds).
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is a managed automaton scheduled to run every 5 minutes (cron) per clawhub.json, but default behavior is dry-run. It does not set always:true. Ensure that automated runs won't be configured with live trading credentials/environment—otherwise it could autonomously place trades.
如何使用
- 确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
- 在对话框中输入安装命令：
/install polymarket-kalshi-divergence - 安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用
/polymarket-kalshi-divergence触发 - 根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出
版本历史
v2.0.5
Fix all scanner flags: managed:true, document all env vars with required/optional distinction, sync versions
v2.0.4
Fix requires.env: only list mandatory vars, optional vars documented in SKILL.md only
v2.0.3
Fix SKILL.md/clawhub.json consistency: match version, declare TRADING_VENUE, correct managed/scheduling docs
v2.0.2
Fix manifest/code consistency: sync versions, declare all env vars, set managed:true, type:automaton
v2.0.1
Fix Market dataclass access, find_markets API, venue default to sim
v2.0.0
Version 2.0.0 introduces major changes to signal processing and trade execution:
- Updated price divergence detection logic for more robust equivalence matching between Kalshi and Polymarket markets.
- Improved execution path and signal thresholds.
- Refined CLI options and documentation for ease of use.
- Minor updates to metadata and configuration files.
v1.5.0
Version 1.5.0 summary: Adds security and trade execution details to documentation.
- Updated SKILL.md to detail security practices and credential handling.
- Clarified that only SIMMER_API_KEY is needed; no wallet keys are accessed or required.
- Outlined the exact trade execution flow and added a section on trade logic.
- Stated that automaton.managed is false and --live flag is required for real trades by default.
- Usage section and documentation improved for clarity.
v1.4.0
Fix metadata: document SIMMER_API_KEY, pip deps, trading warnings in SKILL.md
v1.3.0
Fix: removed managed:true and --live args from automaton. Dry-run by default, user controls execution.
v1.2.0
Fixed: use client.trade() instead of create_order(), yes/no sides, context check, singleton pattern
v1.1.0
Added singleton client pattern with venue=polymarket, context check before trading, fixed TRADE_SOURCE format
v1.0.0
Kalshi-Polymarket Divergence Arb skill v1.0.0 initial release:
- Monitors 13 Kalshi event series and compares prices to linked Polymarket markets.
- Generates BUY signals for >8% underpriced and SELL signals for >10% overpriced on Polymarket.
- Covers crypto, macro, commodities, and index market series.
- Usage options include dry run, live mode, and quiet mode for automation.
- Designed as a flexible template for customizing event coverage and thresholds.
元数据
常见问题
Polymarket Kalshi Divergence 是什么？
Cross-platform arbitrage between Kalshi and Polymarket. Monitors 13 Kalshi event series (crypto, macro, politics) and compares prices to equivalent Polymarke... 它是一个面向 Claude Code / OpenClaw 的 AI Agent Skill 插件，目前累计下载 235 次。
如何安装 Polymarket Kalshi Divergence？
在 OpenClaw 或 Claude Code 对话框中运行命令「/install polymarket-kalshi-divergence」即可一键安装，无需额外配置。
Polymarket Kalshi Divergence 是免费的吗？
是的，Polymarket Kalshi Divergence 完全免费，采用 MIT-0 许可证，可自由下载、安装和使用。
Polymarket Kalshi Divergence 支持哪些平台？
Polymarket Kalshi Divergence 跨平台运行，可在任意部署了 OpenClaw / Claude Code 的环境中使用（cross-platform）。
谁开发了 Polymarket Kalshi Divergence？
由 Mibayy（@mibayy）开发并维护，当前版本 v2.0.5。
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