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Geopolitical Risk & Global Governance Intelligence

Name: Geopolitical Risk & Global Governance Intelligence
Author: ai-gaoqian

作者 ai-gaoqian · GitHub ↗ · v1.0.0 · MIT-0

cross-platform ✓ 安全检测通过

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在 OpenClaw 中安装

/install geopolitical-intel

功能描述

Provides real-time geopolitical risk assessment using data on conflict, sanctions, governance, military, institutions, flashpoints, cyber threats, trade wars...

使用说明 (SKILL.md)

Geopolitical Risk & Global Governance Intelligence

Worldwide geopolitical intelligence engine. 30 authoritative sources across conflict monitoring, sanctions tracking, governance assessment, multilateral institutions, and think tank analysis. Built for anyone needing rigorous geopolitical risk assessment.

Triggers

"Assess geopolitical risk in [region]"
"Track sanctions against [country/entity]"
"Analyze Taiwan Strait escalation scenarios"
"Compare defense spending by country"
"Monitor UN Security Council dynamics"
"Evaluate global governance reform proposals"
"Track trade war / tariff escalations"
"Assess cyber threat landscape by actor"

Capabilities

#	Capability	Data Scope	Output Mode
1	Conflict monitoring & analysis	ACLED (2M+ events), UCDP (1946-present), Crisis Group	Real-time dashboard: fatalities, displacement, territorial changes, intensity trends
2	Sanctions intelligence	OFAC, EU Sanctions Map, UN SC, BIS Entity List, Global Trade Alert	Entity screening, sanctions program comparison, evasion risk, compliance guidance
3	Military capability assessment	SIPRI, IISS Military Balance, JANES	10-country spending ranking, capability inventories, modernization trends, arms trade flows
4	Governance & democracy tracking	WGI, Freedom House, V-Dem, Fragile States Index, EIU Democracy Index	6-dimension governance scores, regime classification, democratic backsliding alerts
5	Multilateral institution analysis	UN Digital Library, UN Treaty Collection, G20, BRICS+, NATO	Voting patterns, treaty ratification, institutional reform trajectories, bloc formation
6	Geopolitical flashpoint deep-dive	10 flashpoints: SCS, Taiwan, Ukraine, Middle East, Korea, Quad, Sahel, Essequibo, Arctic, Balkans	Trigger matrix, escalation ladder, scenario probabilities, second-order effects
7	Cyber & information warfare	ENISA, CISA, Recorded Future, Citizen Lab	Threat actor mapping, TTP evolution, incident impact assessment, disinformation campaign analysis
8	Think tank consensus & divergence	CFR, Chatham House, Carnegie, RAND, CSIS, IFRI, Brookings	Policy position tracking, consensus scores, minority view flagging
9	Trade war & economic coercion	Global Trade Alert, WTO TMD, BIS Entity List	Tariff escalation ladder, non-tariff barriers, forced technology transfer, economic deterrence
10	Scenario planning & early warning	Integrated cross-source fusion	Red team scenarios, indicator and warning (I&W) matrices, trigger event calendars

Workflow

User Query
    │
    ├─ Country/region risk query → Governance + Conflict + Sanctions data fusion
    │   └─ Output: Risk scorecard (1-10) + key drivers + 3-6 month outlook
    │
    ├─ Sanctions screening query → OFAC + EU + UN + BIS cross-reference
    │   └─ Output: Entity status + program scope + secondary sanctions risk
    │
    ├─ Conflict analysis → ACLED real-time + UCDP historical + Crisis Group assessment
    │   └─ Output: Timeline + territorial map + humanitarian impact + resolution scenarios
    │
    ├─ Military comparison → SIPRI spending + IISS capabilities + procurement trends
    │   └─ Output: Side-by-side tables, gap analysis, modernization trajectories
    │
    └─ Scenario planning → Flashpoint trigger matrix + think tank consensus divergence
        └─ Output: Base / adverse / extreme scenarios with probability ranges

Output Formats

Format 1: Country Risk Scorecard

| Dimension | Score (1-10) | Trend | Key Indicator |
|-----------|-------------|-------|---------------|
| Political Stability  | X | ↑/↓/→ | [source] |
| Governance Quality   | X | ↑/↓/→ | WGI/WB   |
| Conflict Risk         | X | ↑/↓/→ | ACLED    |
| Sanctions Exposure    | X | ↑/↓/→ | OFAC/EU  |
| Economic Resilience   | X | ↑/↓/→ | IMF/WB   |
| Overall Risk          | X | ↑/↓/→ | Composite |

Format 2: Flashpoint Escalation Ladder

| Level | Trigger | Probability | Impact Radius | Response Options |

Format 3: Sanctions Program Comparison

| Country | US (OFAC) | EU | UN | UK | JP | Scope | Humanitarian Exemptions |

Usage Guidelines

Always cite data source with date of latest observation
Distinguish between assessed probability vs. market consensus
Flag high uncertainty with ranges rather than point estimates
Note where think tank consensus diverges from government narratives
Avoid speculation; anchor in documented patterns

Examples

Q: What's the Taiwan Strait risk for Q3 2026? → ACLED cross-strait incidents + Chinese military exercises (JANES) + US arms sales (SIPRI) + think tank consensus (CFR/CSIS/Chatham House) → Escalation probability [X%], key triggers [list], US-China redlines [list]

Q: Screen entity [X] against all sanctions programs → OFAC SDN + EU Consolidated + UN SC + BIS Entity List → Status: [sanctioned/not], programs: [list], secondary risk: [yes/no]

Q: Compare defense spending of NATO vs. China+R+NK → SIPRI top-10 + IISS capability data → Total: NATO $XXXB vs. PRC+ $XXXB, gap analysis: [navy/air/cyber/missile defense]

Data Sources (30 total): See references/geopolitical_sources.json for complete listing with URLs and update frequencies. （内容由AI生成，仅供参考）

安全使用建议

This skill is reasonable to install for geopolitical research. Because it covers sanctions, conflict, cyber threats, and risk scoring, verify important conclusions against official sources and seek qualified legal or compliance advice before acting on sanctions-related outputs.

能力评估

✓ Purpose & Capability

The stated purpose is geopolitical risk, sanctions, governance, conflict, military, and scenario analysis; the artifact contains matching prompts, output templates, and a JSON list of public/reference sources.

✓ Instruction Scope

Runtime instructions are limited to research workflow, citation, uncertainty handling, and output formatting; no hidden role changes, prompt overrides, command execution, or unrelated data handling were found.

✓ Install Mechanism

The package contains only SKILL.md and a JSON reference file, with no dependencies, executable scripts, install hooks, or API key requirement.

ℹ Credentials

Using web or external source access is expected for current geopolitical research, but users should treat sanctions and risk outputs as research assistance rather than legal or compliance determinations.

✓ Persistence & Privilege

No persistence, background worker, credential access, local indexing, privilege escalation, or mutation authority is requested or implemented.

如何使用

确保已安装 OpenClaw（本地或 Docker 部署）
在对话框中输入安装命令：/install geopolitical-intel
安装完成后，直接呼叫该 Skill 的名称或使用 /geopolitical-intel 触发
根据 Skill 的参数说明提供必要输入，即可获得结构化输出

版本历史

v1.0.0

Initial release providing a comprehensive geopolitical risk and intelligence toolkit: - Aggregates 30 authoritative sources for conflict monitoring, sanctions, governance, military, and more - Supports diverse triggers: risk assessments, sanctions checks, military comparisons, flashpoint analysis, and scenario planning - Standardized outputs (scorecards, escalation ladders, sanctions tables) for actionable insights - Includes clear workflow descriptions and usage guidelines - Designed for rigorous, multi-source geopolitical analysis by a wide range of users

元数据

Slug geopolitical-intel

版本 1.0.0

许可证 MIT-0

累计安装 0

当前安装数 0

历史版本数 1

常见问题