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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds
Description
Global temperature bucket threshold strategy via Simmer. Buy YES under 15%, sell full position at 45%, max ~$2 entries, max 5 trades/scan, every 2 minutes.
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it says: it queries Simmer and will place simulated or real trades if started with --live. Before installing, confirm the simmer-sdk package source (the manifest requests it) or remove that dependency if unnecessary. Limit the SIMMER_API_KEY's permissions if possible (use a key scoped to simulation or a low-privilege test account), test extensively in dry-run mode, and only enable --live after you are comfortable with behavior and rate limits. Also be aware the cron runs every 2 minutes by default—ensure you want that frequency and that your API quota allows it.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds
Version: 1.0.0
The skill implements a legitimate automated trading strategy for weather-related prediction markets using the Simmer API (api.simmer.markets). The code in trade.py follows standard practices for API interaction, including environment-based credential management (SIMMER_API_KEY), safety filters for market warnings, and a default dry-run mode to prevent unintended financial loss.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description describe a Simmer-based Polymarket weather trading strategy; the code calls Simmer API endpoints (/markets, /context, /positions, /trade) and enforces the described entry/exit thresholds and scheduling. Required credential (SIMMER_API_KEY) matches the service used.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md instructions are narrow and match the code: dry-run by default, use --live to place trades, run every 2 minutes, strict warnings enforced. The runtime code does not read unrelated files or environment variables and only communicates with api.simmer.markets.
Install Mechanism
clawhub.json requests pip install of 'simmer-sdk' which is a reasonable dependency for a Simmer integration, but trade.py uses the requests library and does not import simmer-sdk. Installing simmer-sdk is not harmful per se but appears unnecessary or leftover—verify the package source before install.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required and the code explicitly reads that env var. No unrelated credentials, secret patterns, or config paths are requested or accessed.
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and the skill is scheduled (cron) to run every 2 minutes per manifest; autonomous invocation is allowed (platform default) but not combined with broad credentials or unusual privileges. The skill does not modify other skills or system-wide settings.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
- Initial release of the Global Temperature Bucket Thresholds (Simmer) strategy.
- Buys YES when probability is under 15%, sells all at 45% or above.
- Limits entries to ~$2 and a maximum of 5 trades per scan.
- Strategies evaluated every 2 minutes with strict safeguards.
- Dry-run mode by default; live trading enabled with `--live`.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds?
Global temperature bucket threshold strategy via Simmer. Buy YES under 15%, sell full position at 45%, max ~$2 entries, max 5 trades/scan, every 2 minutes. It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 329 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds?
Run "/install polymarket-weather-bucket-thresholds" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds free?
Yes, Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds is completely free (open-source). You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds support?
Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Weather Bucket Thresholds?
It is built and maintained by OxSnosh (@oxsnosh); the current version is v1.0.0.
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