← Back to Skills Marketplace
diagnostikon

Polymarket Climate Trader

by diagnostikon · GitHub ↗ · v0.0.3 · MIT-0
cross-platform ✓ Security Clean
406
Downloads
0
Stars
2
Active Installs
6
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-climate-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on weather extremes, climate milestones, natural disasters, and agricultural outcomes. Use when you want to capture alph...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it says, but take these precautions before installing: - Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as highly sensitive: use a paper-only key for testing, and never store a live-capable key in a shared environment. Rotate keys if you suspect misuse. - Test thoroughly in paper mode (the default) and verify behavior and logs before enabling live trading. The code requires an explicit --live flag for real trades but an agent with invocation rights could call live if misconfigured. - Reconcile the documentation and tunables with the code: SKILL.md lists a $3,000 min volume but code/clawhub.json defaults to $1,000; confirm the tunables you want in the Simmer UI. - Review the simmer-sdk package (source/version) to ensure it is the expected client and has no unexpected permissions. - If you are uncomfortable with autonomous invocation, restrict the skill's ability to run automatically or require manual approval for live runs. - Optional data sources (Open-Meteo, etc.) are mentioned but not required; only provide additional API keys if you trust those services and understand the data flows.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill Name: polymarket-climate-trader Version: 0.0.3 The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to interact with Polymarket climate and weather prediction markets. It implements a 'safe by default' architecture where real trades require an explicit --live flag, defaulting instead to a simulation environment. The code in trader.py follows standard practices for the Simmer SDK, utilizing environment variables for configuration and performing basic market analysis based on seasonal trends without any signs of data exfiltration, obfuscation, or malicious command execution.
Capability Tags
cryptorequires-sensitive-credentials
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill is a Polymarket trading bot and only requests the SIMMER_API_KEY and a simmer-sdk pip dependency — both are consistent with a trading integration. Minor inconsistencies: SKILL.md's risk table lists Min market volume default as $3,000 but trader.py and clawhub.json default to 1,000; registry version (0.0.3) and clawhub.json version (0.0.2) differ. These are documentation/packaging issues but not indicative of hidden capabilities.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, signal computation, and trade execution via the Simmer SDK. The skill documents a safe default (paper trading) and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades. The instructions do not ask the agent to read unrelated files or exfiltrate data.
Install Mechanism
No custom download/install script is present; clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' which is a normal package install pattern for this use case. No external/obscure URLs or archive extraction were observed.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY (required) plus SIMMER_* tunables are used; this aligns with the bot's need to authenticate/trade. However, SIMMER_API_KEY is a high-privilege credential (ability to execute trades). SKILL.md warns about this; you should ensure the key's permissions are appropriate (use a paper-only key where possible) and avoid placing a live-capable key in shared environments.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false and autostart:false (cron null) reduce surprise persistence; automaton.entrypoint is set but automaton is managed and won't autostart by default. The skill can be invoked autonomously by the agent (disable-model-invocation is false), which is normal — combine that with a live-capable API key and the agent could place real trades if misused, so manage invocation policies and credentials accordingly.
How to Use
  1. Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
  2. Run the install command in chat: /install polymarket-climate-trader
  3. After installation, invoke the skill by name or use /polymarket-climate-trader
  4. Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.3
Wider thresholds, lower filters, add get_fast_markets + bulk scan, backward-compatible
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
- Introduced conviction-based position sizing with built-in seasonal bias, scaling trades according to event timing (e.g. hurricane season). - Added a table and description for seasonal bias multipliers for common climate market types. - Updated default signal logic to use market price distance from threshold and seasonality, replacing model ensemble probability divergence as default. - Expanded and clarified tracked climate event keywords. - Added new tunables, including min trade size and YES/NO market thresholds; max position size raised from $20 to $25. - Documentation updates for clarity around risk controls, tunables, and seasonal trading logic.
v1.0.0
- Initial release of polymarket-climate-trader (v1.0). - Enables automated trading on Polymarket’s climate and weather prediction markets using meteorological data. - Supports alpha capture for temperature records, hurricane seasons, natural disasters, climate milestones, and agricultural yields. - Integrates with public data sources including NOAA, Open-Meteo, and Copernicus for market analysis. - Risk controls, position sizing, and safety defaults (paper trading mode by default). - All parameters are configurable via environment variables and Simmer UI.
Metadata
Slug polymarket-climate-trader
Version 0.0.3
License MIT-0
All-time Installs 2
Active Installs 2
Total Versions 6
Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket Climate Trader?

Trades Polymarket prediction markets on weather extremes, climate milestones, natural disasters, and agricultural outcomes. Use when you want to capture alph... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 406 downloads so far.

How do I install Polymarket Climate Trader?

Run "/install polymarket-climate-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.

Is Polymarket Climate Trader free?

Yes, Polymarket Climate Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.

Which platforms does Polymarket Climate Trader support?

Polymarket Climate Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).

Who created Polymarket Climate Trader?

It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.

💬 Comments