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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-quant-trader
Description
Professional-grade Polymarket prediction market trading system. Includes Kelly Criterion position sizing, EV calculator, Bayesian probability updater, cross-...
Usage Guidance
Do not give this skill your main wallet private keys or seed phrase. Before installing or running anything: (1) insist on the repository URL and review the actual code (npm scripts, build steps, any transaction-signing logic) in a trusted environment; (2) run the cloned code in a sandbox/container and review any scripts that auto-execute or call external endpoints; (3) if you want to test, use a dedicated wallet with minimal funds and paper-trade mode only; (4) confirm how the autoresearch loop behaves overnight (does it auto-run code that can sign transactions?), and disable any automatic signing or live trading until you've audited it; (5) request clarification from the publisher about why the skill bundle lacks the claimed source and where the 'repo provided after purchase' is hosted — only proceed if you can fully audit that external repo.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-quant-trader
Version: 1.0.0
The bundle describes an automated Polymarket trading system with high-risk capabilities, including the management of Polygon private keys and an autonomous "autoresearch loop" that modifies local configuration files and executes scripts (SKILL.md, README.md). While the provided quantitative logic for Kelly Criterion sizing and Bayesian updates appears mathematically sound and aligned with the stated purpose, the system's autonomous financial operations and the requirement for sensitive credentials present a significant risk profile. No clear evidence of malicious intent or data exfiltration was identified, but the autonomous optimization of trading parameters is inherently risky.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The README and SKILL.md claim the package 'ships with TypeScript source, npm scripts, and a backtester', yet the published skill contains only documentation files and no code or install spec. The README instructs you to 'git clone <repo-url-provided-after-purchase>', implying required code lives off-package or behind a purchase step — this is inconsistent with the claim that source is included in the skill bundle.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and README include concrete dev/runtime actions (npm scripts, running arb scans, autoresearch loops) and instruct users to configure a .env with wallet keys and risk parameters. The skill does not contain runtime code here, and the instructions do not explicitly tell the agent to read local secrets, but they do direct the user to store private wallet keys locally and to clone/run external code — which is out-of-band and increases risk if you don't inspect that code first.
Install Mechanism
There is no install spec in the skill (instruction-only), which is low risk for the registry bundle itself. However, the README directs you to git-clone an external repository (URL provided only after 'purchase'), which means arbitrary external code will be fetched and executed locally when following the guide. That external-download step is the primary install-time risk and is not auditable from the published skill files.
Credentials
The skill clearly expects wallet private keys and live trading credentials for Polymarket (and possibly access to 1WIN feeds), but the skill metadata declares no required env vars or primary credential. Asking you to store wallet keys in a .env (and to run scripts that may sign transactions) without declaring or handling credentials is a proportionality mismatch and a user-safety concern.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill does not request 'always: true' or other elevated platform privileges; it is user-invocable and allows model invocation (the platform default). There is no evidence in the provided files that the skill will modify other skills or agent-wide settings.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-quant-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-quant-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
Production-grade PM trading system: Kelly sizing, Brier autoresearch loop, cross-platform arb detector (PM vs 1WIN), ensemble signal swarm, weather signal source, consensus validator. 390+ tests.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Quant Trader?
Professional-grade Polymarket prediction market trading system. Includes Kelly Criterion position sizing, EV calculator, Bayesian probability updater, cross-... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 288 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Quant Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-quant-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Quant Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Quant Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Quant Trader support?
Polymarket Quant Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Quant Trader?
It is built and maintained by Henry6262 (@henry6262); the current version is v1.0.0.
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