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Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
187
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-macro-inflation-chain-trader
Description
Three-step macro chain reaction trader for Polymarket. Chains commodity pressure (oil, WTI, crude) through inflation and rate expectations (Fed, FOMC) to equ...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears coherent for a Simmer/Polymarket trading integration. Before installing: 1) Only provide a SIMMER_API_KEY you trust; treat it as trading authority and consider limiting funds/permissions on the Simmer side if possible. 2) Keep the default paper mode and test behavior thoroughly before using --live. 3) Review simmer-sdk (the pip dependency) and pin a known-good version to reduce supply-chain risk. 4) Check tunables (MIN_TRADE, MAX_POSITION, etc.) to sensible conservative values during testing. 5) If you plan to run autonomously, monitor logs and rate-limit activity; autonomous invocation is normal but increases impact if a bug exists. If you want, I can scan the full trader.py for any network calls beyond SimmerClient or produce a short checklist of what to audit in the simmer-sdk usage.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-macro-inflation-chain-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate macro-economic trading bot for Polymarket that implements a multi-layered strategy involving commodities, interest rates, and equities. It features robust safety mechanisms, including a mandatory '--live' flag for real trades (defaulting to paper trading) and configurable risk parameters in 'clawhub.json'. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found in 'trader.py' or 'SKILL.md'.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (Polymarket macro chain trader) align with the actual code and declared requirements. The skill only requires a Simmer API key and SIMMER_ prefixed tunables; uses simmer-sdk to enumerate markets and execute trades. No unrelated cloud credentials, system paths, or unrelated binaries are requested.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py focus on market classification, chain logic, sizing, and trading. Instructions emphasize paper trading by default and only perform live trades with an explicit --live flag. The doc and code do not instruct reading unrelated system files, scanning shell history, or sending data to third-party endpoints beyond the Simmer client.
Install Mechanism
No install spec that pulls arbitrary binaries or archives. clawhub.json lists a pip dependency (simmer-sdk), which is appropriate for a Simmer-integrated trader. No downloads from untrusted URLs or extract operations are present.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (declared) plus many SIMMER_ tunables (declared in clawhub.json) for position sizing and filters. These environment variables are proportionate to a trading skill; there are no unrelated secrets (AWS, GCP, SSH keys, etc.).
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not force-installed (always:false), autostart is false, and cron is null. It is user-invocable and can be run autonomously per platform defaults, which is expected for a trading automaton. It does not request elevated system-wide persistence or modify other skills' configurations.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-macro-inflation-chain-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-macro-inflation-chain-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Macro Inflation Chain Trader for Polymarket.
- Implements a three-step macro chain trading logic: commodity pressure → inflation/rate expectations → equity markets.
- Detects divergences between commodity prices, monetary sentiment, and equity optimism to generate trading signals.
- Includes robust market classification, conviction-based position sizing, and adjustable risk parameters.
- Defaults to safe paper-trading mode; live trading only enabled with explicit option.
- All risk and threshold parameters are easily configurable via environment variables and the Simmer UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader?
Three-step macro chain reaction trader for Polymarket. Chains commodity pressure (oil, WTI, crude) through inflation and rate expectations (Fed, FOMC) to equ... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 187 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-macro-inflation-chain-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader support?
Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Macro Inflation Chain Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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