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Prediction Markets Arbitrage
by
Karen Sheng
· GitHub ↗
· v1.0.0
· MIT-0
88
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
1
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install prediction-market-arb
Description
Find and analyze arbitrage opportunities across prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it claims: read market prices and orderbooks via the AIsa API. Before installing, confirm you trust the AIsa service (api.aisa.one) and the skill author; ensure your AISA_API_KEY is scoped appropriately and not used elsewhere if you want to limit blast radius. Note the documentation states each read costs money—monitor usage and billing. Also follow the SKILL.md rule to never execute curl examples containing un-replaced {…} placeholders. If you need higher assurance, request the full, untruncated script sources and verify there are no endpoints or functions that perform writes/trades or that leak the API key to other hosts.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: prediction-market-arb
Version: 1.0.0
The skill bundle is a legitimate toolkit for analyzing prediction market arbitrage between Polymarket and Kalshi using the AIsa API. The Python scripts (arbitrage_finder.py and prediction_market_client.py) use standard libraries to perform API requests and mathematical calculations without any evidence of malicious execution, data exfiltration, or obfuscation. The skill instructions in skill.md even include a safety constraint to prevent the agent from executing commands with unreplaced placeholders.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill is explicitly a read-only data/analysis tool for Polymarket/Kalshi and requires only AISA_API_KEY and standard binaries (curl, python3). It calls a single third‑party API (api.aisa.one) which the SKILL.md and scripts identify as the provider (AIsa). The skill's declared homepage (openclaw.ai) is different from the data API host (aisa.one); this is explainable (OpenClaw integrates AIsa) but worth noting.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md instructs only to query AIsa endpoints and to verify placeholder replacement before running curl. There are no instructions to read unrelated machine files or additional environment variables. The scripts only perform GET requests for market data, prices, and orderbooks; they do not include trade/execution/credential-exfiltration behavior.
Install Mechanism
No install spec — instruction-only deployment — and included Python scripts run with python3. No external downloads or archive extraction are used. This is a low‑risk install footprint.
Credentials
The only required credential is AISA_API_KEY (declared as primary). That aligns with the skill's dependency on a single aggregator API. No unrelated secrets or system config paths are requested. Users should ensure the API key has minimal scope and be aware of request costs.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not forced-always, does not request persistent elevated privileges, and does not modify other skills or system settings. Autonomous invocation remains possible (platform default) but is not combined with other risk flags here.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install prediction-market-arb - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/prediction-market-arb - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Prediction Market Arbitrage skill.
- Enables discovery of arbitrage opportunities between Polymarket and Kalshi.
- Provides endpoints to match events, compare prices, and analyze orderbook liquidity across both platforms.
- Includes usage guidance, API reference, and safety checks to prevent execution with missing parameters.
- Requires API key setup via environment variable for access.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Prediction Markets Arbitrage?
Find and analyze arbitrage opportunities across prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 88 downloads so far.
How do I install Prediction Markets Arbitrage?
Run "/install prediction-market-arb" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Prediction Markets Arbitrage free?
Yes, Prediction Markets Arbitrage is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Prediction Markets Arbitrage support?
Prediction Markets Arbitrage is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Prediction Markets Arbitrage?
It is built and maintained by Karen Sheng (@karensheng); the current version is v1.0.0.
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