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Polymarket Edge Trader
by
fivegive249-ship-it
· GitHub ↗
· v2.0.0
· MIT-0
116
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
5
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-edge-trader
Description
Trades the highest-edge active AION Polymarket market matching a query using a user-supplied fair probability, AION context safeguards, and Kelly-style sizing.
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to implement the trading behavior it claims, but take these precautions before installing or running it:
- Verify provenance: the source/homepage is unknown and the owner is unverified. Review the full repository history or contact the author before trusting live funds.
- Verify the AION SDK package (aionmarket-sdk) and confirm it's the legitimate package you expect (check PyPI/GitHub and package authors).
- Do NOT set AION_BASE_URL to any host you don't trust. Because the client uses that base URL, a malicious endpoint could receive your AION_API_KEY and any user-specific briefing requests.
- Prefer dry-run mode first; only use --live when you understand how AION_SIGNED_ORDER_JSON / WALLET_ADDRESS are used. Avoid supplying WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY unless you have audited the code path that would use it.
- Reconcile metadata mismatches: the top-level manifest omitted required env vars while clawhub.json lists AION_API_KEY. Confirm which environment variables the runtime actually requires.
- Run the skill in an isolated environment (separate credentials) and inspect aionmarket-sdk traffic (or run with a network proxy) before supplying real credentials.
- If you need higher assurance, ask the publisher for a verified homepage/repo or for PGP-signed release artifacts and request clarification about the default AION_BASE_URL domain.
If you provide any additional information (full edge_trader.py if truncated, the aionmarket-sdk package provenance, or confirmation of the canonical AION API domain), I can raise or lower the concern level accordingly.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-edge-trader
Version: 2.0.0
The skill is a legitimate trading bot template for Polymarket using the AION SDK. It implements robust safety features including Kelly-style position sizing, slippage enforcement, and risk-alert monitoring. Security-wise, it follows best practices by defaulting to a dry-run mode and requiring pre-signed EIP712 order payloads (AION_SIGNED_ORDER_JSON) for live execution, which avoids the need to expose raw private keys to the agent environment. The code in edge_trader.py is well-structured and lacks any indicators of data exfiltration or unauthorized execution.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The name, SKILL.md, clawhub.json and edge_trader.py all describe the same capability (scan markets, size with Kelly, and optionally submit trades through an AION SDK). Required Python package (aionmarket-sdk) and primary credential (AION_API_KEY) match the stated purpose. However there are metadata inconsistencies: the top-level registry summary in the evaluation header said 'Required env vars: none' and 'Primary credential: none' while clawhub.json and SKILL.md declare AION_API_KEY as required. Also SKILL.md mentions WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY as optional but clawhub.json does not list it. These mismatches reduce confidence in packaging/provenance.
Instruction Scope
Instructions and code stay within trading scope (market discovery, context checks, sizing, auto-redeem, and optional live order submission). No instructions ask for unrelated files or host system reads. The notable concern: AION_BASE_URL is configurable and defaults to https://pm-t1.bxingupdate.com/bvapi (an unfamiliar domain). If a user or attacker points AION_BASE_URL to an arbitrary host, the skill will send the AION_API_KEY (and potentially user-scoped briefing requests) to that endpoint, creating a credential-exfiltration vector. The skill accepts pre-signed order JSON via env which is reasonable, but care is needed when providing private keys or switching endpoints.
Install Mechanism
No download-from-URL or archive install is present. Packaging is instruction-only with a pip dependency on aionmarket-sdk (declared in clawhub.json and in SKILL.md). This is a normal, low-risk install pattern from a Python registry, assuming the package and version are trustworthy.
Credentials
The skill requires an AION_API_KEY (appropriate for an SDK client) and accepts WALLET_ADDRESS and AION_SIGNED_ORDER_JSON for live trading — these fit the purpose. But metadata inconsistencies exist: the top summary omitted required env vars while clawhub.json marks AION_API_KEY as primaryEnv. SKILL.md mentions WALLET_PRIVATE_KEY as optional but clawhub.json does not expose it. The ability to override AION_BASE_URL (and thus send sensitive credentials to an arbitrary endpoint) increases risk and must be treated carefully. Overall env requests are moderate and explainable, but the endpoint configurability elevates the need for cautious review.
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and disable-model-invocation is not set — the skill is user-invocable and can be run autonomously per platform defaults. clawhub.json includes a cron and an automaton managed entrypoint, meaning it is intended to run on a schedule; this is coherent with a trading bot but means it can operate automatically if installed into a scheduler. There is no evidence the skill modifies other skills or requests permanent elevated platform privileges.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-edge-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-edge-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v2.0.0
Complete rebuild per AION best practices: enhanced safeguards, daemon polling with jitter, auto-redeem, comprehensive documentation, remixable template pattern
v1.0.3
Add auto-redeem support and daemon polling with jitter per AION best practices
v1.0.2
Align SDK install instruction with aionmarket-sdk and bump version
v1.0.1
Fix SKILL frontmatter parsing and setup section formatting
v1.0.0
Polymarket Edge Trader v1.0.0 — Initial Release
- Scans live AION Polymarket markets matching a user query and scores them using a user-supplied fair probability.
- Selects and trades the market with the greatest edge, applying Kelly-style staking and risk checks (slippage, alerts, edge minimums, anti-flip-flopping).
- Supports full dry run by default, with live trades only if explicitly enabled and a signed order is provided.
- Operator summary includes risk state, decisions, and trade/order status.
- Highly customizable via arguments and environment variables, supporting advanced remixing and integration.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Edge Trader?
Trades the highest-edge active AION Polymarket market matching a query using a user-supplied fair probability, AION context safeguards, and Kelly-style sizing. It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 116 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Edge Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-edge-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Edge Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Edge Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Edge Trader support?
Polymarket Edge Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Edge Trader?
It is built and maintained by fivegive249-ship-it (@fivegive249-ship-it); the current version is v2.0.0.
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