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Macro Regime Detector
by
JamieRossouw
· GitHub ↗
· v1.0.0
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Install in OpenClaw
/install macro-regime-detector
Description
Detect the current macro regime (Risk-On, Risk-Off, Inflationary, Deflationary, Stagflation) using multi-source intelligence. Combines Fear & Greed, DXY, yie...
README (SKILL.md)
Macro Regime Detector
Real-time macro regime classification for crypto and traditional asset positioning.
Regimes Detected
| Regime | Description | Crypto Positioning |
|---|---|---|
| A — Risk-On Bull | VIX \x3C15, F&G >60, DXY falling | Max long, leverage OK |
| B — Neutral/Cooling | Mixed signals, consolidation | Selective longs, tighter stops |
| C — Risk-Off Bear | VIX >25, F&G \x3C25, DXY rising | Reduce exposure, hedge |
| D — Inflationary Spike | CPI surprise, Gold/BTC spike | BTC as inflation hedge |
| E — Stagflation | High inflation + recession fears | Defensive: BTC, gold, cash |
| F — Liquidity Crisis | Credit spreads explode, correlation 1 | Exit all risk, stablecoin only |
Signal Sources
- Fear & Greed (
alternative.me/fng): 0-100 score, regime anchor - Reddit pulse: r/CryptoCurrency, r/investing hot posts, bearish/bullish ratio
- DXY proxy: BTC/USD inverse correlation check
- News NLP: major economic event detection (Fed, CPI, NFP, SEC)
- On-chain: BTC exchange flows, miner capitulation signals
How to Use
Ask: "What macro regime are we in?" or "Should I be long or short crypto right now?"
Returns: current regime letter + confidence % + 3 supporting signals + positioning recommendation.
Regime History (current session)
- Feb 21 2026: Regime B (Neutral/Cooling) | F&G=8, "Extreme Fear" | Contrarian bullish signal active
Usage Guidance
This skill is plausible but underspecified. Before installing or using it: 1) Ask the author to list exact data sources/endpoints and whether API keys or paid access are required (e.g., which news API, on-chain provider, Reddit method). 2) Request a clear algorithm: how signals are normalized, how weights are combined, and tiebreaker rules (explain why F&G=8 produced Regime B in the example). 3) If the agent will scrape websites (Reddit, news), consider legal/usage limits and potential IP/rate concerns. 4) Be cautious about using outputs for automated trading — validate with historical backtests and guardrails. If the author cannot clarify data sources, credentials needed, and the decision logic, treat the skill as unreliable and avoid exposing sensitive credentials or letting it act autonomously on financial systems.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: macro-regime-detector
Version: 1.0.0
The skill bundle consists of standard metadata in `_meta.json` and a descriptive `SKILL.md` file. The `SKILL.md` outlines the purpose of the 'macro-regime-detector' skill, its inputs, and expected outputs. There are no instructions or content within these files that suggest prompt injection against the AI agent, data exfiltration, unauthorized command execution, or any other malicious intent. The referenced external sources (e.g., `alternative.me/fng`) are consistent with the skill's stated purpose and are not used in a suspicious context.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The declared purpose (detect macro regimes using Fear & Greed, DXY, VIX, gold/BTC, Reddit sentiment, news, on-chain flows) matches what the SKILL.md describes. No binaries, installs, or credentials are requested, which is not inherently wrong for an instruction-only skill; however several listed signal sources (news NLP, on-chain exchange flows, some premium analytics) commonly require API access or paid data feeds — the skill does not document how those will be obtained. That omission makes it unclear whether the skill can deliver the promised capability without additional secrets or services.
Instruction Scope
The SKILL.md gives a high-level list of signals and returns (regime + confidence + 3 supporting signals + recommendation) but does not define how signals are fetched, normalized, or weighted. It contains an internal inconsistency: the example session lists Regime B (Neutral/Cooling) while showing Fear & Greed = 8 ("Extreme Fear"), which the regime table otherwise maps toward risk-off — this suggests underspecified override rules or contradictory logic. The instructions also give the agent broad discretion to query Reddit, news, and on-chain data without constraints or explicit endpoints, which could lead to unpredictable or excessive data collection behaviors.
Install Mechanism
Instruction-only skill with no install spec and no bundled code files. This minimizes disk-write risk and there is no external installer to review.
Credentials
The skill requests no environment variables or credentials, which is proportionate on the surface. In practice, some signal sources referenced (news APIs, premium on-chain analytics, robust Reddit access) often require API keys or paid subscriptions; the absence of declared credentials means either the skill expects unauthenticated scraping (fragile/legal/ethical concerns) or the author omitted required auth details. Confirming the intended data sources and credential needs is advised.
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and the skill is user-invocable; autonomous model invocation is allowed (default) but not combined with elevated privileges. The skill does not request system-wide configuration changes or persistent installation artifacts.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install macro-regime-detector - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/macro-regime-detector - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
Initial release – Macro Regime Detector skill version 1.0.0:
- Detects real-time macro regimes (Risk-On, Risk-Off, Inflationary, Deflationary, Stagflation) using multi-source data.
- Integrates sentiment, market volatility, DXY, gold/BTC ratio, Reddit trends, news, and on-chain metrics.
- Provides clear crypto positioning recommendations for each regime.
- Accepts queries about current macro conditions and portfolio strategy.
- Outputs regime letter, confidence score, supporting signals, and positioning advice.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Macro Regime Detector?
Detect the current macro regime (Risk-On, Risk-Off, Inflationary, Deflationary, Stagflation) using multi-source intelligence. Combines Fear & Greed, DXY, yie... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 842 downloads so far.
How do I install Macro Regime Detector?
Run "/install macro-regime-detector" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Macro Regime Detector free?
Yes, Macro Regime Detector is completely free (open-source). You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Macro Regime Detector support?
Macro Regime Detector is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Macro Regime Detector?
It is built and maintained by JamieRossouw (@jamierossouw); the current version is v1.0.0.
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