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Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
183
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-macro-risk-regime-trader
Description
Detects macro risk regimes (risk-on vs risk-off) by scanning ALL Polymarket categories simultaneously. When crypto drops, geopolitical escalation rises, and...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it claims: detect cross-category regimes on Polymarket and trade through the Simmer platform. Before installing: 1) Verify the SIMMER_API_KEY is provided from a trusted account and understand someone with that key can place real USDC trades if you run with --live. 2) Run the skill in paper mode first (default) to validate behavior. 3) Confirm how your environment will install the simmer-sdk (PyPI or an approved mirror). 4) Note the package metadata in the registry omitted the required env var — treat that as a cataloging error and ensure you supply SIMMER_API_KEY only to trusted skills/runtimes. 5) If you want extra caution, inspect or audit simmer-sdk and review logs/audit trails for trading actions and limit the key’s permissions / rotate it after testing.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-macro-risk-regime-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a functional Polymarket trading bot designed to detect macro risk regimes and trade lagging markets. The code in `trader.py` implements transparent logic using the `simmer-sdk`, includes safety defaults (paper trading by default), and lacks any indicators of malicious intent, data exfiltration, or unauthorized execution. The instructions in `SKILL.md` are consistent with the stated purpose and do not contain prompt-injection attacks.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill's name/description (cross-category Polymarket regime detection and trading) matches the included code and declared tunables. It legitimately needs access to a Simmer trading API key and the simmer-sdk. Minor inconsistency: the registry metadata at the top of the package summary claims no required env vars/credentials, but both SKILL.md and clawhub.json declare SIMMER_API_KEY as required.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md instructs the agent to discover markets via get_markets/find_markets, classify categories, compute regime signals, and trade via the Simmer client. The instructions keep to the stated trading purpose and explicitly default to paper trading unless --live is provided. They do not request unrelated files, other credentials, or external endpoints beyond the Simmer/platform client.
Install Mechanism
There is no separate install script, but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency (simmer-sdk). The package is instruction/code-based with a Python entrypoint; the absence of a formal install spec in the registry summary is a minor mismatch but not inherently dangerous. Verify that your environment will install/verify the simmer-sdk from PyPI or your approved source.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required to operate (and is used by the code). That is proportionate to a trading skill. Again, note the top-level metadata incorrectly listed 'none' for required env/primary credential; real files require SIMMER_API_KEY.
Persistence & Privilege
The package sets automaton.entrypoint but autostart is false and cron is null, so it will not run automatically until you explicitly enable it. always:false and normal model-invocation defaults are set. No attempt to modify other skills or system-wide configs was seen.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-macro-risk-regime-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-macro-risk-regime-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Macro Risk Regime Trader.
- Detects market-wide risk-on vs risk-off regimes by scanning crypto, geopolitics, and commodity categories.
- Trades lagging non-indicator Polymarket markets that have not repriced to current macro regime.
- Adjustable risk parameters and trade constraints via tunables.
- Paper trading by default; live trading enabled via command line flag.
- Designed for Simmer integration and requires API credential.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader?
Detects macro risk regimes (risk-on vs risk-off) by scanning ALL Polymarket categories simultaneously. When crypto drops, geopolitical escalation rises, and... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 183 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-macro-risk-regime-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader support?
Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Macro Risk Regime Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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