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Polymarket Energy Transition Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
363
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
6
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-energy-transition-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on EV adoption milestones, solar/wind capacity, nuclear energy restarts, oil price thresholds, and energy policy events....
Usage Guidance
This skill appears coherent for trading on Polymarket via the Simmer platform, but before installing: (1) only provide a SIMMER_API_KEY scoped to the minimum permissions needed and monitor/rotate it; (2) confirm you understand that real trades require running with --live and the default is paper trading; (3) review the simmer-sdk package/source or its PyPI/GitHub project to ensure it is reputable; (4) if you don't want autonomous trading, avoid giving the agent unattended invocation privileges or run the skill manually; (5) consider running in an isolated environment (container/VM) so pip packages and credentials are scoped away from other workflows.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-energy-transition-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill bundle is a legitimate trading bot designed to interact with Polymarket energy transition prediction markets. The code (trader.py) uses the simmer-sdk to discover markets and execute trades based on a heuristic strategy involving energy data calendars and technology tiers. It follows security best practices for the platform by defaulting to paper trading (sim mode), using environment variables for credentials, and providing adjustable risk parameters (tunables) in clawhub.json. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection was found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the code and metadata: the skill discovers Polymarket markets and executes trades via the Simmer SDK. The only declared credential is SIMMER_API_KEY and the manifest lists the simmer-sdk dependency — all expected for a trading agent.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, sizing logic, and trade execution via the SimmerClient. The skill reads only its declared SIMMER_* tunables and SIMMER_API_KEY. It defaults to paper trading and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades.
Install Mechanism
No separate install script is included (instruction-only), but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. Installing a third-party Python package is standard for this use case but you should review simmer-sdk's provenance before installing into a sensitive environment.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required as a secret and the rest are non-secret tunables (SIMMER_MAX_POSITION, etc.). This is proportional to a trading skill. The code accesses only those environment variables declared in the manifest.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false and always is not set; the skill can be invoked autonomously (platform default) but will not autostart. The skill may call apply_skill_config in Simmer runtime to load tunables (normal behavior). There is no evidence it modifies other skills or system-wide settings.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-energy-transition-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-energy-transition-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.3
Wider thresholds, lower filters, add get_fast_markets + bulk scan, backward-compatible
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
- Expanded the signal logic to use conviction-based sizing and a new transition_bias() function, combining energy data calendar timing and technology tier confidence for enhanced edge.
- Detailed built-in conviction and bias multipliers for different energy sector questions and key calendar periods; maximum bias capped for transparency and risk management.
- Updated monitored keyword list and examples of external data sources/builds for signal remixing.
- Refined risk parameter defaults, including clearer YES/NO thresholds and minimum/maximum trade sizing.
- Clarified core mispricings targeted: lag in Polymarket’s response to energy data calendars, and consistent retail underpricing of high-confidence energy milestones.
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Energy Transition Trader skill for Polymarket prediction markets.
- Supports trading on EV adoption, solar/wind capacity, nuclear restarts, oil price thresholds, and energy policy events.
- Integrates IEA data, utility filings, and commodity futures signals for generating trading signals.
- Includes paper trading mode by default; live trading requires explicit flag and credentials.
- Provides adjustable risk and market filter parameters via Simmer UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Energy Transition Trader?
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on EV adoption milestones, solar/wind capacity, nuclear energy restarts, oil price thresholds, and energy policy events.... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 363 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Energy Transition Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-energy-transition-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Energy Transition Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Energy Transition Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Energy Transition Trader support?
Polymarket Energy Transition Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Energy Transition Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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