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Install in OpenClaw
/install macro-analysis
Description
宏观分析框架 — 从GDP、CPI、PMI、流动性、政策导向判断大盘方向与资产配置。当用户说「大盘分析」「宏观经济」「流动性」「M2」「CPI/PPI」「政策面」「降息/加息」时激活。
README (SKILL.md)
宏观分析体系
宏观分析是A股最大方向的判断器，核心是"政策市"——政策决定方向，资金决定幅度。
核心宏观指标
1. 经济增长
| 指标 | 含义 | A股影响 |
|---|---|---|
| GDP增速 | 经济好坏 | GDP↑→企业盈利↑→股市↑ |
| PMI | 制造业景气度 | PMI>50扩张/\x3C50收缩 |
| 工业企业利润 | 企业盈利 | 利润↑→股价↑ |
| 进出口 | 外需 | 出口↓→顺差收窄→汇率压力 |
2. 通胀指标
| 指标 | 含义 | 政策反应 |
|---|---|---|
| CPI | 消费物价 | 温和通胀(2~3%)利于股市 |
| PPI | 工业出厂价 | PPI↑→周期股盈利↑ |
| 剪刀差 | CPI-PPI | 收敛时中下游利润改善 |
3. 流动性
| 指标 | 含义 | 市场影响 |
|---|---|---|
| M2增速 | 货币供应 | M2↑→股市有流动性支撑 |
| 社会融资规模 | 实体融资需求 | 增量↑→经济活性↑ |
| 10年期国债收益率 | 无风险利率 | 收益率↑→股票估值承压 |
4. 政策信号
货币宽松信号：降准/降息/麻辣粉(MLF)降→利好股市
财政扩张信号：基建/专项债加速→利好周期股
行业政策：扶持某行业→相关板块爆发
监管政策：某行业监管收紧→板块下跌
政策周期框架
政策底→市场底→经济底→盈利底
政策底：政策开始宽松（降息/降准/救市）→ 可进场
市场底：政策底后1~3个月，指数最底部 → 重仓
经济底：宏观数据企稳 → 确认趋势
盈利底：企业净利润增速触底 → 持有
四个阶段操作
阶段1（政策底）：建仓，跌市尾声，风险大但收益最高
阶段2（市场底）：确认涨势，满仓持有
阶段3（经济顶）：减仓防御，利润兑现
阶段4（盈利顶）：轻仓/离场，等下一周期
汇率影响
人民币升值（美元贬值）→ 外资流入→ A股增量资金→ 利好
人民币贬值→ 外资流出→ A股权重股承压
参考
详见 references/macro-indicators.md
Usage Guidance
This skill is a text-only macroeconomic analysis framework and appears internally consistent. Before installing, be aware it provides trading/asset-allocation guidance but does not perform live data fetching or trading itself. Do not paste private credentials or account details into chat when using it; if you need automated data or trades, prefer a skill that transparently declares required APIs/credentials and comes from a trusted source.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: macro-analysis
Version: 1.0.0
The skill bundle is a purely informational framework for macro-economic analysis of the A-share market. It contains no executable code, network requests, or suspicious instructions, consisting only of educational markdown documentation (SKILL.md and references/macro-indicators.md) and standard metadata.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The name and description (macro analysis of GDP/CPI/PMI/liquidity/policy) match the SKILL.md content. The skill requests no binaries, env vars, or config paths, which is proportionate for a guidance-only skill.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md contains only domain guidance, indicator thresholds, and procedural stages for macro analysis. It does not instruct the agent to read unrelated files, access credentials, call external endpoints, or exfiltrate data.
Install Mechanism
No install spec and no code files; the skill is instruction-only, so nothing is downloaded or written to disk.
Credentials
The skill declares no required environment variables or credentials; that is appropriate for a purely informational macroeconomic framework.
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and the skill does not request elevated or persistent platform privileges. Autonomous invocation is enabled by default but is not combined with other risks here.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install macro-analysis - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/macro-analysis - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
Initial release of macro-analysis skill.
- Provides a macroeconomic analysis framework for assessing market direction and asset allocation.
- Covers key indicators: GDP, CPI, PPI, PMI, M2, liquidity, and policy signals.
- Explains the policy cycle and operation strategies across four phases.
- Includes impact of currency rates and typical macro-market relationships.
- Activates when users mention relevant terms such as “大盘分析”, “宏观经济”, “流动性”, “CPI/PPI”, or policy actions.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is macro-analysis?
宏观分析框架 — 从GDP、CPI、PMI、流动性、政策导向判断大盘方向与资产配置。当用户说「大盘分析」「宏观经济」「流动性」「M2」「CPI/PPI」「政策面」「降息/加息」时激活。 It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 110 downloads so far.
How do I install macro-analysis?
Run "/install macro-analysis" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is macro-analysis free?
Yes, macro-analysis is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does macro-analysis support?
macro-analysis is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created macro-analysis?
It is built and maintained by danpian1 (@danpian1); the current version is v1.0.0.
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