\r \r

LPXPoly — AI-Powered Polymarket Analysis\r

\r Find edge in prediction markets using AI probability estimation vs current market prices. Pay ~50 sats per analysis via Bitcoin Lightning. No subscription, no account.\r \r

When to Use\r

\r

• Finding mispriced markets on Polymarket\r
• Getting AI probability assessment on specific events\r
• Scanning for arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets\r
• Comparing AI model probability vs crowd wisdom\r
• Browsing top markets by volume or category\r \r

Tools\r

\r

get_edge_opportunities\r

Scans Polymarket for markets where AI probability significantly diverges from market price.\r \r

"Find edge opportunities on Polymarket"\r
→ Returns top mispriced markets with AI vs market probability delta\r
→ Sorted by edge magnitude\r
→ Includes recommended position (YES/NO) and confidence\r
```\r
\r
### `analyze_market`\r
Deep AI analysis of a specific Polymarket market.\r
\r
```\r
"Analyze the Fed rate cut market"\r
→ Returns AI probability estimate with reasoning\r
→ Includes key factors, risks, and recommended position size\r
→ Compares to current market price\r
```\r
\r
### `get_top_markets`\r
Browse top Polymarket markets by volume, filtered by category.\r
\r
```\r
"What are the top crypto markets on Polymarket?"\r
→ Returns markets sorted by volume\r
→ Filter by: crypto, politics, sports, science, tech, world\r
```\r
\r
### `check_balance`\r
Check your Lightning balance before running expensive scans.\r
\r
```\r
"How much Lightning balance do I have?"\r
→ Returns current sats balance\r
→ Includes link to top up if low\r
```\r
\r
## Behavior Guidelines\r
\r
**Before a full market scan:**\r
1. `check_balance` — confirm enough sats for the scan\r
2. `get_edge_opportunities` — retrieve top mispriced markets\r
3. Present findings with edge delta and confidence\r
\r
**For a specific market:**\r
1. `analyze_market` with market name or URL\r
2. Return AI probability, reasoning, and position recommendation\r
\r
**Cost awareness:**\r
- Each `get_edge_opportunities` call: ~50 sats\r
- Each `analyze_market` call: ~50 sats\r
- Warn if balance \x3C 200 sats before a multi-analysis session\r
\r
## Example Interactions\r
\r
**User:** "Find edge opportunities on Polymarket"\r
\r
**You:** check_balance → get_edge_opportunities → present top 5 markets with edge delta, AI probability vs market price, and recommended positions\r
\r
---\r
\r
**User:** "What does AI think about the Bitcoin ETF approval market?"\r
\r
**You:** analyze_market("Bitcoin ETF approval") → return AI probability estimate, key factors, comparison to market price, recommended position\r
\r
---\r
\r
**User:** "What are the biggest crypto prediction markets right now?"\r
\r
**You:** get_top_markets(category="crypto") → return top markets by volume with current prices\r
\r
## Payment\r
\r
~50 sats per analysis. Pay with Bitcoin Lightning. Get a spend token at [lightningprox.com](https://lightningprox.com).\r
\r
```json\r
{\r
  "mcpServers": {\r
    "lpxpoly": {\r
      "command": "npx",\r
      "args": ["lpxpoly-mcp"],\r
      "env": {\r
        "LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN": "lnpx_your_token_here"\r
      }\r
    }\r
  }\r
}\r
```\r
\r
## Security Manifest\r
\r
| Permission | Scope | Reason |\r
|------------|-------|--------|\r
| Network | lpxpoly.com, lightningprox.com | Market data and Lightning payment |\r
| Env Read | LIGHTNINGPROX_SPEND_TOKEN | Authentication for paid analysis calls |\r
\r
## Trust Statement\r
\r
LPXPoly is part of the AIProx ecosystem, operated by LPX Digital Group LLC. Market analysis is AI-generated probability estimation — not financial advice. Sats deducted from LightningProx balance per successful analysis only. Operated at lpxpoly.com.\r