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Polymarket Space Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
316
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
5
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-space-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on space launches, SpaceX milestones, satellite deployments, Mars missions, and commercial spaceflight outcomes. Use whe...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to implement the stated Polymarket trading strategy and defaults to safe paper trading, but the registry metadata does not match the included files: clawhub.json and SKILL.md both require SIMMER_API_KEY while the top summary says no env vars are required. Before installing: 1) Verify the registry metadata is corrected so you know the skill truly needs SIMMER_API_KEY. 2) Do not put a live-capable trading key in your environment unless you intentionally want to enable live trades; use a sim/paper key or make sure your key is scoped/revocable. 3) Review the simmer-sdk package (source repository and recent versions) so you trust what the SDK does with your key. 4) If you want deeper assurance, provide the rest of trader.py (the file was truncated in the bundle) so the code paths that run on cron/automan can be fully reviewed. If the metadata mismatch is explained/fixed and simmer-sdk looks legitimate, this skill is coherent with its stated purpose; otherwise treat the metadata inconsistency as a risk signal.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-space-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate automated trading agent for space-themed prediction markets on Polymarket. It implements a transparent strategy using a 'mission bias' heuristic and includes robust safety features, such as defaulting to paper trading (sim mode) unless a '--live' flag is explicitly provided. Analysis of 'trader.py' and 'SKILL.md' reveals no evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection; the code strictly interacts with the 'simmer-sdk' and respects the defined risk parameters.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill's files (SKILL.md and clawhub.json) require SIMMER_API_KEY and depend on the simmer-sdk Python package — appropriate for a trading agent — but the registry summary at the top of the evaluation incorrectly lists 'Required env vars: none' and 'Primary credential: none'. That metadata mismatch is an incoherence that should be resolved before trusting the registry listing.
Instruction Scope
Runtime instructions and trader.py focus on market discovery, sizing, and order placement. The SKILL.md explicitly defaults to paper trading and requires an explicit --live flag for real USDC trades. Optional remix data sources (NASA APIs, TLEs, social media) are suggested but not required by the shipped code.
Install Mechanism
No install script is provided (install-only via 'clawhub install'), which is low risk. The package requires the third-party pip dependency 'simmer-sdk' declared in clawhub.json; installing third-party packages is a normal risk vector — you should review simmer-sdk (source and reputation) before installing.
Credentials
The code and SKILL.md legitimately require SIMMER_API_KEY and several SIMMER_* tunables (MAX_POSITION, etc.). These are proportionate to a trading skill. However, the top-level registry metadata incorrectly reports no required env vars, creating ambiguity. Also note the meaningful security consideration: a live-capable API key would allow real trades — the skill warns about this, but the user must ensure the key provided is appropriately scoped (prefer a paper/sim-only key for routine use).
Persistence & Privilege
The skill is not always-on (always:false) and autostart is false. It is automaton-managed with an entrypoint but will not start automatically until configured. Default model-invocation/autonomy settings are normal for skills.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-space-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-space-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
**Conviction-based position sizing and operator bias now built-in.**
- Signal logic upgraded: conviction and bias-adjusted sizing replaces simple launch-date divergence.
- Encodes operator reliability (e.g., Falcon 9 1.35x, NASA SLS 0.80x, Virgin Galactic 0.70x) directly into position calculation.
- Threshold and sizing risk parameters expanded (min trade size, buy/sell thresholds now tunable).
- Market keywords and coverage broadened to include more launch operators and scenarios.
- Documentation updated for signal logic, risk/tuning variables, and built-in sizing transparency.
v1.0.0
Initial release: Trades Polymarket prediction markets for space launches and milestones
- Supports SpaceX, Mars missions, commercial spaceflight, satellite deployments, and regulatory event prediction markets.
- Default strategy aligns launch market prices with real-world launch schedules; detects value from schedule divergences and market reactions to scrubs/anomalies.
- Customizable via data from NASA, satellite trackers, and social media sentiment.
- Risk controls, liquidity filters, and position limits set for space market characteristics.
- Paper trading by default; real trades require explicit `--live` mode and secure API key usage.
- All trading parameters are adjustable through environment variables and Simmer UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Space Trader?
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on space launches, SpaceX milestones, satellite deployments, Mars missions, and commercial spaceflight outcomes. Use whe... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 316 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Space Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-space-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Space Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Space Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Space Trader support?
Polymarket Space Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Space Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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