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Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
192
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
5
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader
Description
Trades weekly cyclical patterns in geopolitical prediction markets. Military operations spike Mon-Thu, diplomacy clusters around working days, and weekend st...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears coherent and implements a paper-first trading strategy that only needs your SIMMER_API_KEY. Before enabling live mode: (1) verify the SIMMER_API_KEY permissions and rotate / restrict it as appropriate (treat it as sensitive); (2) run and monitor in paper mode long enough to validate behavior and tunables; (3) confirm you trust the simmer-sdk version you will install (supply-chain risk); and (4) only enable the --live flag once you understand position sizing, max exposures, and regulatory/legal implications of real-money geopolitical prediction trading.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a functional trading bot designed for geopolitical prediction markets on Polymarket. It implements a documented strategy based on weekly news cycles and uses the legitimate 'simmer-sdk' for market discovery and trade execution. The code in 'trader.py' follows security best practices by defaulting to a paper-trading (simulation) mode, using environment variables for API keys, and lacking any signs of obfuscation, data exfiltration, or unauthorized execution.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The name/description (weekly-pattern trading on Polymarket) matches the implementation: trader.py uses simmer-sdk and a SIMMER_API_KEY, clawhub.json lists the same env/pip requirements, and the skill's tunables map to trading parameters. No unrelated credentials, binaries, or platform access are requested.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py limit actions to market discovery, filters, sizing logic, and SimmerClient operations (paper vs live trading). There are no instructions to read unrelated files, scan system paths, or post data to third-party endpoints outside the Simmer/Polymarket context. The code does call apply_skill_config when available and re-reads env vars, which is consistent with updating runtime tunables.
Install Mechanism
No arbitrary download/install is present. The manifest requires the simmer-sdk Python package (pip), which is proportionate for a SimmerClient-based trader. There are no remote URLs, archives, or non-standard installers in the package.
Credentials
The skill requires a single service credential (SIMMER_API_KEY) appropriate for executing trades via the Simmer SDK. Other env vars in clawhub.json are adjustable tunables (position size, thresholds, etc.). No unrelated secrets (AWS, git tokens, etc.) are requested. Note: SIMMER_API_KEY carries trading authority and should be granted least privilege.
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and autostart is false; the skill is user-invocable and may be run as an automaton when explicitly started. It does not request permanent global presence or attempt to modify other skills' configs. Autonomous invocation (model invoking the skill) is enabled by default on the platform but is normal and not excessive here.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader v1.0.1
- Added specification fields in metadata: required environment variable (SIMMER_API_KEY), required Python package (simmer-sdk), default execution mode ("paper"), and live trading flag ("--live").
- No changes to trading logic or strategy; documentation and metadata improved for skill onboarding and automation compatibility.
- No code or functionality changes detected.
v1.0.0
Geopolitics Weekly Pattern Trader v1.0.0
- Initial release of a strategy trading weekly timing patterns in Polymarket geopolitical prediction markets.
- Trades are sized by conviction and adjusted using a built-in `weekly_pattern_multiplier()` sensitive to day-of-week cycle.
- Identifies target markets through keyword-based discovery and regex filtering for true geopolitical events.
- Four cyclical trading windows exploited: weekend staleness, Monday repricing, Friday risk reduction, midweek diplomacy.
- All trade sizing logic, safeguards, and paper/live mode controls included; no external APIs required for default use.
- Risk parameters and trade limits are fully tunable via Simmer UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader?
Trades weekly cyclical patterns in geopolitical prediction markets. Military operations spike Mon-Thu, diplomacy clusters around working days, and weekend st... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 192 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-geopolitics-weekly-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader support?
Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Geopolitics Weekly Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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