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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-divergence-trader
Description
Trades a Simmer-indexed market when your estimated probability diverges from the live market price, with dry-run on sim by default, context checks, reasoning...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to be what it claims: a Simmer-backed divergence trading template. Before enabling it for live/autonomous execution: 1) verify the simmer-sdk package source and inspect it (it will run network calls and perform trades), 2) keep SIMMER_API_KEY permissions minimal and store it securely (be aware the script reads a .env file), 3) test thoroughly in dry-run/sim (the code defaults to dry-run) and avoid supplying --live or changing automation to pass live flags until you're confident, 4) be cautious with auto-redeem and any automated cron runs — ensure the platform won't accidentally invoke live trades, and 5) review trade metadata (the human-readable reasoning is attached to trades and will be public in trade records).
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-divergence-trader
Version: 1.0.0
The skill is a legitimate trading bot template designed to execute trades on Polymarket via the Simmer SDK based on probability divergence. The code in divergence_trader.py follows standard practices, including environment variable management, dry-run defaults, and risk-check logic. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection were found in SKILL.md or the source code.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description match the code and metadata: the script queries market context and optionally places trades via a SimmerClient. Declared primaryEnv SIMMER_API_KEY and pip dependency simmer-sdk align with the stated purpose; no unrelated credentials or binaries are requested.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and the script confine actions to reading market context, computing an edge, and optionally calling client.trade() / client.auto_redeem(). The script reads .env and environment variables declared in clawhub.json (SIMMER_API_KEY, MARKET_ID, MY_PROBABILITY, etc.) and does not access other system paths or send data to unknown endpoints.
Install Mechanism
There is no top-level install script, but clawhub.json declares pip dependencies (simmer-sdk, python-dotenv). pip installs are proportionate to the task; the only caution is that simmer-sdk is a third-party package — review its provenance before installation.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required as a primary credential; optional env vars match script arguments. The skill does load a local .env file (Path(...).with_name('.env')), which is expected but means sensitive keys in that file will be read by the script.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false (no forced inclusion), but clawhub.json includes a cron expression and automaton.managed:true so the platform can run this on a schedule. The script defaults to dry-run, but scheduled runs could execute automatically if invoked with live flags or if environment/configuration is changed — review automation settings before enabling.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-divergence-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-divergence-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
Initial release of Polymarket Divergence Trader:
- Trades on Simmer-indexed Polymarket markets when your probability estimate diverges from the market price by a configurable edge.
- Safe by default: runs in dry-run mode unless `--live` is specified.
- Performs market context checks and skips trading for risky conditions.
- Operator outputs include reasoning tags and decision summaries.
- Highly configurable and intended as a template for custom models or integrations.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Divergence Trader?
Trades a Simmer-indexed market when your estimated probability diverges from the live market price, with dry-run on sim by default, context checks, reasoning... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 53 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Divergence Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-divergence-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Divergence Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Divergence Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Divergence Trader support?
Polymarket Divergence Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Divergence Trader?
It is built and maintained by ssj124 (@ssj124); the current version is v1.0.0.
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