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Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
179
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0
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0
Active Installs
4
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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-bundle-cs2-maps-trader
Description
Trades CS2 BO3 Winner markets when individual map winner probabilities imply a different BO3 outcome on Polymarket. Uses the binomial BO3 model to calculate...
Usage Guidance
Before installing or providing credentials: 1) Note that SIMMER_API_KEY is required by the code and SKILL.md even though the top-level registry summary omitted it—do not supply the key unless you intend the skill to trade on your behalf. 2) Inspect and vet the simmer-sdk PyPI project (source repo, recent commits, maintainers) because the bot depends on it to access Polymarket. 3) Run the skill in paper/sim mode first (default) and review logs and API calls before using --live. 4) Limit the SIMMER_API_KEY scope (use a key with restricted permissions if possible) and rotate it after testing. 5) Confirm the platform's UI will not auto-enable live trading; autostart is false but double-check any deployment automation. 6) If you need higher assurance, request the full, untruncated trader.py and verify there are no hidden network endpoints, credential exfiltration, or eval/exec patterns.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-bundle-cs2-maps-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The bundle implements a legitimate arbitrage trading strategy for Counter-Strike 2 matches on Polymarket. The logic in `trader.py` uses a binomial model to identify mispriced Best-of-3 markets based on individual map probabilities, and it includes safety features such as a default simulation mode (paper trading) and configurable risk limits. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious prompt injection, or unauthorized access was found across the code or documentation.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill's stated purpose (detect map-vs-BO3 mispricings and trade them) matches the included code (uses simmer-sdk to discover markets, build bundles, compute implied BO3 probability, and place trades). However the registry summary at the top of the package report lists "Required env vars: none" whereas both SKILL.md and clawhub.json declare SIMMER_API_KEY as required and the code reads os.environ['SIMMER_API_KEY']. This mismatch between registry metadata and the actual manifests is an incoherence to surface.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md describes market discovery, bundle construction, paper-vs-live modes, and requires a Simmer API key. The runtime instructions and trader.py appear scoped to Polymarket/Simmer interactions and trading logic; they do not instruct arbitrary filesystem reads or exfiltration of unrelated data in the provided content.
Install Mechanism
No explicit install script is present (instruction-only install), but clawhub.json lists a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' (PyPI). Using a third-party PyPI package is expected for this skill, but it increases the trust surface—verify the simmer-sdk project and version before installing.
Credentials
The code and SKILL.md require a single high-value credential (SIMMER_API_KEY) which is appropriate for a trading/skimmer client. The concern is metadata inconsistency: the package-level summary initially reported no required env vars while the actual manifests and code require SIMMER_API_KEY. Ensure the platform will prompt for this credential and it won't be supplied inadvertently. No other credentials or unrelated env vars are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart: false and cron: null are set; the skill does not request always:true. It declares an automaton entrypoint (trader.py) but defaults to paper trading and does not request elevated platform-wide privileges or modify other skills. Autonomous invocation (disable-model-invocation=false) is the default platform behavior and is not in itself flagged.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-bundle-cs2-maps-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-bundle-cs2-maps-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Bundle CS2 Maps BO3 Arbitrage Trader.
- Trades Polymarket BO3 winner markets when individual map winner probabilities imply a mispricing.
- Uses binomial BO3 model to calculate implied probability from Map 1, Map 2, and Map 3 prices.
- Signal spots violations above a minimum threshold and sizes trades by conviction.
- Defaults to paper trading for safety; live trading requires explicit flag.
- Key risk parameters and tunables are adjustable from Simmer UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader?
Trades CS2 BO3 Winner markets when individual map winner probabilities imply a different BO3 outcome on Polymarket. Uses the binomial BO3 model to calculate... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 179 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-bundle-cs2-maps-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader support?
Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Bundle Cs2 Maps Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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