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Polymarket Biotech Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
370
Downloads
0
Stars
1
Active Installs
6
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-biotech-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on FDA drug approvals, biotech IPOs, clinical trial outcomes, pharma M&A, and precision medicine milestones. Use when yo...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it claims: connect to Simmer, discover Polymarket markets by keyword, compute simple signals, and place trades. Things for you to consider before installing:
- SIMMER_API_KEY is a trading credential: treat it like money. Do not put a live-capable key into environments where automation or other agents might run without your explicit review. Use a paper/sim key for testing.
- Autostart/cron are disabled by default, but someone with install privileges could enable scheduled or live runs—verify automaton and UI settings before enabling live trading.
- The package depends on 'simmer-sdk' from PyPI—confirm you trust that package and the Simmer service.
- Minor metadata mismatches exist (registry said no env vars; files require SIMMER_API_KEY; SKILL.md mentions a cron that isn't set). These look like administrative errors; confirm required env vars and scheduling behavior in the UI before use.
- If you plan to integrate extra data sources (ClinicalTrials.gov, BioMedTracker, social media), expect additional credentials and privacy considerations for those services.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-biotech-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to interact with Polymarket biotech prediction markets using the simmer-sdk. It features a safe-by-default design that requires an explicit --live flag for real trades, includes configurable risk parameters (tunables), and implements safeguards against high slippage and market volatility in trader.py. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection were found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (Polymarket biotech trader) align with what the skill installs and does: it requires a Simmer SDK and a SIMMER_API_KEY to connect to a trading client and discover/trade markets. The keyword set, market discovery, and trading calls in trader.py are coherent with the described purpose.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine runtime behavior to market discovery, signal computation, and trading via the SimmerClient; the skill does not instruct reading unrelated system files or contacting arbitrary external endpoints. Minor inconsistency: SKILL.md mentions a 20-minute cron schedule, but clawhub.json has cron:null and autostart:false (the skill will not run on a schedule by default). Also the top-level summary in the registry stated 'required env vars: none' while both SKILL.md and clawhub.json require SIMMER_API_KEY—this is an administrative mismatch, not malicious behavior.
Install Mechanism
No arbitrary download/install URLs. clawhub.json lists a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' which is a standard registry install pattern. There is no extract-from-URL or remote script execution in the skill bundle.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY (trading API key) plus optional SIMMER_* tunables are used. This is proportional to a trading skill. Important operational note: possession of SIMMER_API_KEY grants the ability to place real trades when the client is run in live mode; the SKILL.md warns that real trades only occur with an explicit --live flag and that autostart is disabled by default.
Persistence & Privilege
Skill is not marked always:true, autostart is false, and cron is null. It is automaton-managed with an entrypoint but will not start automatically on install. Model invocation is allowed (platform default), which is expected for skills; no additional persistent privileges or cross-skill config modifications are attempted.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-biotech-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-biotech-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.3
Wider thresholds, lower filters, add get_fast_markets + bulk scan, backward-compatible
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
Version 1.0.1
- Expanded and clarified tunable risk parameters in the documentation, including new variables for YES/NO thresholds and minimum trade size.
- Updated variable names from SIMMER_BIOTECH_* to SIMMER_* for consistency and easier configuration.
- No changes were made to source code or files; documentation only.
v1.0.0
Polymarket Biotech Trader v1.0.0 – Initial Release
- Launches a prediction market trading skill focused on FDA drug approvals, clinical trial outcomes, biotech IPOs, pharma M&A, and precision medicine.
- Core strategy leverages FDA's PDUFA calendar and base rate analysis to identify mispriced markets.
- Risk controls, trade sizing, and parameter tuning supported via environment variables and Simmer UI.
- Paper trading enabled by default for safety; live trading requires explicit `--live` flag.
- Provides market discovery, trade execution plumbing, and integration ideas with ClinicalTrials.gov and historical approval databases.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Biotech Trader?
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on FDA drug approvals, biotech IPOs, clinical trial outcomes, pharma M&A, and precision medicine milestones. Use when yo... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 370 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Biotech Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-biotech-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Biotech Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Biotech Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Biotech Trader support?
Polymarket Biotech Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Biotech Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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