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Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
183
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-twitter-cross-contagion-trader
Description
Trades post-count bin markets by detecting cross-person contagion where one public figure posting heavily causes correlated figures to increase their rate. R...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears coherent for automated trading via the Simmer SDK. Before installing: 1) Verify the top-line registry metadata mismatch — the files require SIMMER_API_KEY even though the initial report showed none. 2) Review the simmer-sdk PyPI/GitHub source to ensure the SDK is trustworthy. 3) Keep only a paper-mode API key or a key restricted to non-live actions when testing; do not place a live-capable key in an environment where automated code could be run until you audit the code and SDK. 4) Confirm autostart/cron settings remain disabled if you don't want it to run automatically. 5) If you plan to run live, double-check tunables (max position, min trade, max open positions) and consider running a code audit or limited-capital live test first.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-twitter-cross-contagion-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed for Polymarket post-count markets, using a 'cross-person contagion' strategy. The code in trader.py correctly implements market analysis and trade execution via the simmer-sdk, featuring safety defaults like paper trading (venue='sim') unless the --live flag is explicitly used. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection were found across SKILL.md or the configuration files.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description describe a Polymarket trading strategy and the package requires an API key and simmer-sdk — exactly what a trading skill needs. The declared contagion logic and tunables are consistent with a market-making/trading bot.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine runtime actions to discovering markets, computing signals, and placing trades via SimmerClient. There are no instructions to read arbitrary local files, scan unrelated services, or exfiltrate data to unknown endpoints. The skill warns that --live enables real trading.
Install Mechanism
This is instruction-only (no installer script), but clawhub.json and SKILL.md declare a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. That is a reasonable, expected dependency for a Simmer integration — review the PyPI/GitHub package before supplying live credentials.
Credentials
Required environment variables are SIMMER_API_KEY and several SIMMER_* tunables used to cap risk; these are proportionate for a trading skill. Note: the skill bundle files (SKILL.md/clawhub.json) do require SIMMER_API_KEY, but the summary at the top of the report listed 'Required env vars: none' — that's an inconsistency you should resolve before installing.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false and autostart:false; the automaton entrypoint exists but it will not start automatically. The skill does not request elevated or system-wide privileges. The agent can invoke it autonomously (default), which is normal for skills; combine that with caution when providing live trading credentials.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-twitter-cross-contagion-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-twitter-cross-contagion-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Twitter Cross-Contagion Trader skill.
- Detects and exploits posting rate correlations between public figures across Twitter and similar platforms for Polymarket post-count bin markets.
- Integrates configurable cross-person “contagion coefficients” (pre-set betas for Elon/Trump/Vitalik/CZ).
- Fully manages market discovery, trade execution, and risk controls; supports paper and live trading via SIMMER_API_KEY.
- Risk and execution parameters are adjustable via environment variables and Simmer UI; defaults to safe paper trading.
- Installation via clawhub with required `simmer-sdk` dependency.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader?
Trades post-count bin markets by detecting cross-person contagion where one public figure posting heavily causes correlated figures to increase their rate. R... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 183 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-twitter-cross-contagion-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader support?
Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Twitter Cross Contagion Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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