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Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
174
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0
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0
Active Installs
4
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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-bundle-crypto-hourly-trader
Description
Trades crypto hourly Up/Down markets when sub-interval consensus disagrees with the hourly price on Polymarket. BTC/ETH/SOL 5-min interval markets within the...
Usage Guidance
Key points to check before installing: 1) The skill requires SIMMER_API_KEY (trading authority) despite the registry summary claiming none — verify you are willing to give that API key. 2) Review the simmer-sdk package (PyPI and GitHub) to confirm the client does what you expect and has no unexpected network endpoints. 3) Test entirely in paper mode (default) and confirm autostart is disabled locally; only enable --live when you trust the code and the API key scope. 4) Ensure the SIMMER_API_KEY has least privilege (limit withdrawal/transfer rights if possible) and rotate it if you later revoke trust. 5) The owner and homepage are missing/unknown — prefer skills from known publishers or inspect the full code; if you cannot audit simmer-sdk or the Simmer service, treat real trading as high risk. If you want higher confidence, ask the publisher for a signed homepage/repo link and a changelog, or run the skill in an isolated environment and inspect network traffic while in paper mode.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-bundle-crypto-hourly-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The bundle implements a crypto trading strategy for Polymarket using the simmer-sdk. The logic in trader.py uses regex to identify and group hourly markets with their sub-intervals to detect price discrepancies based on consensus. The code includes robust safety features such as paper trading by default (venue='sim'), slippage checks, and configurable risk parameters via clawhub.json. No evidence of malicious intent, data exfiltration, or prompt injection was found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill's declared dependency (simmer-sdk) and the code (trader.py) match the stated purpose of trading Polymarket Up/Down markets. However, the registry summary at the top (requirements: none) contradicts the included clawhub.json and SKILL.md which require SIMMER_API_KEY and list simmer-sdk as a pip dependency. That metadata mismatch is a coherence problem (likely packaging/documentation error) but not necessarily malicious.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py describe market discovery, bundle construction, and trade execution and confine network activity to the Simmer client (and optionally external exchange APIs as a remix idea). The instructions emphasize paper mode by default and require an explicit --live flag for real trades. The runtime instructions do not tell the agent to read unrelated files or exfiltrate data.
Install Mechanism
There is no arbitrary URL download. The manifest requests a PyPI package (simmer-sdk), which is a standard, traceable install mechanism. No extract-from-URL or unknown host installs are present.
Credentials
The only required secret in the files is SIMMER_API_KEY (used to authenticate to the Simmer client) which is proportionate to a trading skill. The code also reads a set of SIMMER_* tunables from environment (reasonable). The note: the top-level 'Requirements' summary incorrectly lists no required env vars while clawhub.json and SKILL.md require SIMMER_API_KEY — this inconsistency should be resolved before trusting the skill.
Persistence & Privilege
The skill does not request always:true and autostart is false. The clawhub.json declares an automaton entrypoint but autostart:false means it won't run automatically. disable-model-invocation is false (normal). The skill does not attempt to modify other skills or global agent settings.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-bundle-crypto-hourly-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-bundle-crypto-hourly-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
Polymarket-Bundle-Crypto-Hourly-Trader v1.0.0 — Initial Release
- Launches a crypto bundle trading skill targeting Polymarket hourly Up/Down markets (BTC/ETH/SOL).
- Detects mispricings using consensus from 5-min sub-interval market signals versus hourly.
- Includes conviction-based sizing: position size scales with magnitude of disagreement.
- Strictly paper trades by default; live trades only with explicit flag for safety.
- Fully documented with edge thesis, tunable risk parameters, and signal logic for remixing.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader?
Trades crypto hourly Up/Down markets when sub-interval consensus disagrees with the hourly price on Polymarket. BTC/ETH/SOL 5-min interval markets within the... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 174 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-bundle-crypto-hourly-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader support?
Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Bundle Crypto Hourly Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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