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Polymarket Weather Trader
by
johnjerry8749
· GitHub ↗
· v0.1.0
733
Downloads
3
Stars
1
Active Installs
1
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install weather-py
Description
Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets,...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears to do what it claims (use Simmer + NOAA to identify and optionally place weather trades). Before installing: (1) Review source if you can — the package includes weather_trader.py and status.py so skim them or run in dry-run mode first. (2) Only provide a Simmer API key with the minimal scope possible and be aware that --live will place real trades; test with dry-run and small settings first. (3) Note metadata inconsistencies (registry metadata vs. _meta.json / SKILL.md versions) and the unknown homepage/source — treat this as an unsigned third-party skill and proceed with caution. (4) If you don't want the skill writing a local config file, run it without saving settings or inspect update_config before saving. (5) Consider running behind network monitoring or with a token you can revoke quickly.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: weather-py
Version: 0.1.0
The skill bundle is designed to trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via the Simmer API. All files (SKILL.md, status.py, weather_trader.py, config.json) align with this stated purpose. The `SKILL.md` provides clear instructions for the AI agent and user, without any evidence of prompt injection attempts to manipulate the agent into unauthorized actions. The Python scripts (`status.py`, `weather_trader.py`) legitimately access the `SIMMER_API_KEY` from environment variables to interact with `https://api.simmer.markets` and `https://api.weather.gov` for market data, portfolio information, and trade execution. Configuration is handled via `config.json` or environment variables, and the `--set` CLI argument for `weather_trader.py` uses controlled updates. There is no evidence of data exfiltration to unauthorized endpoints, malicious execution (e.g., `curl|bash`), persistence mechanisms beyond user-enabled cron scheduling, or obfuscation. The code's functionality is consistent with a legitimate trading automation tool.
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA via Simmer) align with required env var (SIMMER_API_KEY), network calls (api.simmer.markets and api.weather.gov), and included code (weather_trader.py, status.py). The skill only asks for the Simmer API key which is necessary to place trades and query portfolio.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and the scripts limit actions to fetching Simmer portfolio/markets, querying NOAA, parsing events, and optionally executing trades. The runtime instructions tell the agent to store settings in env vars and can write/read a local config.json (update_config/load_config). The skill includes a --live mode that will execute real trades and a --no-safeguards flag that disables checks; users should be aware of the financial impact. There are no instructions to read unrelated system files or to call unexpected external endpoints.
Install Mechanism
No install spec or external downloads; this is an instruction-only skill with bundled source files. That keeps install risk low — nothing is fetched from arbitrary URLs during install.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required. The additional per-skill config values are environment variables for thresholds/sizing and are appropriate for a trading bot. The skill does not request unrelated credentials (no cloud secrets, no SSH keys, etc.).
Persistence & Privilege
always is false and the skill is user-invocable. It writes a local config.json in its directory for settings (expected behavior). It does not request to modify other skills or system-wide settings.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install weather-py - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/weather-py - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.1.0
Polymarket Weather Trader v1.7.2
- Trade Polymarket temperature markets automatically using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API.
- Inspired by gopfan2’s $2M+ weather trading strategy.
- New: Limit trades per cycle with SIMMER_WEATHER_MAX_TRADES (default: 5).
- Smart position sizing and trade safeguards to manage risk.
- Detailed configuration for thresholds, locations, and portfolio-based sizing.
- Status utility for quick balance and position checks.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Weather Trader?
Trade Polymarket weather markets using NOAA forecasts via Simmer API. Inspired by gopfan2's $2M+ strategy. Use when user wants to trade temperature markets,... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 733 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Weather Trader?
Run "/install weather-py" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Weather Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Weather Trader is completely free (open-source). You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Weather Trader support?
Polymarket Weather Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Weather Trader?
It is built and maintained by johnjerry8749 (@johnjerry8749); the current version is v0.1.0.
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