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Polymarket Research

by Simmer.Markets · GitHub ↗ · v1.0.0 · MIT-0
cross-platform ✓ Security Clean
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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-research
Description
Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading.
README (SKILL.md)

Polymarket Research

Get a structured research snapshot for any Polymarket topic. Returns market probabilities, volume across time windows, and the top holders (largest positions) per outcome. Read-only — no trades, no wallet needed.

This is a template. The default output is a research snapshot — remix it to feed into your own trading logic, dashboard, or analysis pipeline. The skill handles market discovery and data retrieval. Your agent decides what to do with the signal.

Setup

pip install simmer-sdk
export SIMMER_API_KEY="sk_live_..."

Quick start

python research.py "bitcoin price"
python research.py "us election" --top-holders 20
python research.py "weather" --min-volume 100000

What you get

For each matching market:

Field Source
Question, status, resolution date Simmer SDK
YES/NO probability Simmer SDK (synced from Polymarket CLOB)
24h volume Simmer SDK
Top holders per outcome Polymarket data API (free, no auth)
Edge analysis vs AI price Simmer SDK context endpoint

Configuration

Parameter Env var Default Description
Search query (CLI arg) required Topic to search for
Min volume SIMMER_RESEARCH_MIN_VOLUME 10000 Skip markets below this 24h volume
Max results SIMMER_RESEARCH_MAX_RESULTS 5 Markets to return
Top holders SIMMER_RESEARCH_TOP_HOLDERS 10 Holders per outcome

Example output

=== Bitcoin Price Markets ===

1. Will BTC hit $150k by end of 2026?
   YES: 32.5% | NO: 67.5%
   Volume (24h): $284,102
   Resolves: 2026-12-31

   Top holders (YES):
     Gabagool22: 142,301 shares
     xuanxuan008: 89,442 shares
     marketing101: 67,221 shares

   Top holders (NO):
     0xe1d6...907: 203,112 shares
     sharky6999: 156,004 shares

Troubleshooting

  • No markets found: try broader search terms or lower --min-volume
  • No top holders: market may be new or have low participation; the holders endpoint returns empty for very new markets
  • Timeout on holders: the Polymarket data API is occasionally slow; the skill retries once with a 10s timeout
Usage Guidance
Install only if you are comfortable providing a Simmer API key and installing simmer-sdk. The reviewed artifact appears read-only and purpose-aligned, but because the provider is related to prediction-market tooling, prefer an API key with minimal permissions and avoid reusing credentials that can trade or manage funds.
Capability Tags
cryptorequires-walletrequires-sensitive-credentials
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The stated purpose is market research, and the script only searches markets, lists importable markets, and fetches top holders through Simmer SDK with live=false; no wallet use, order placement, transfer, or deletion behavior was found.
Instruction Scope
Runtime instructions are limited to running research.py with a user-provided query and optional filters. The import_market text is printed as guidance only and is not executed by the script.
Install Mechanism
Installation requires pip installing simmer-sdk and setting SIMMER_API_KEY, both disclosed in SKILL.md and clawhub.json. Users should trust the Simmer provider and use a least-privilege API key where possible.
Credentials
The requested environment access is proportionate to authenticated market-data retrieval: one API key and bounded tuning variables. No broad filesystem reads, local credential scraping, or hidden outbound endpoints were present in the artifact code.
Persistence & Privilege
The manifest sets autostart to false and cron to null, and the script does not install persistence, spawn background workers, write files, or request elevated privileges.
How to Use
  1. Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
  2. Run the install command in chat: /install polymarket-research
  3. After installation, invoke the skill by name or use /polymarket-research
  4. Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v1.0.0
Initial release of Polymarket Research skill. - Research any Polymarket topic and receive structured market data in one snapshot. - Returns probabilities, 24h volume, and top holders per outcome for each market. - Read-only access—no trading or wallet required. - Simple CLI usage with flexible filtering by query, volume, and number of top holders. - Designed as a template: output can be customized for dashboards or analysis pipelines.
Metadata
Slug polymarket-research
Version 1.0.0
License MIT-0
All-time Installs 0
Active Installs 0
Total Versions 1
Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket Research?

Research any Polymarket topic — get market data, probabilities, volumes, and top holders in one snapshot. Read-only, no trading. It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 37 downloads so far.

How do I install Polymarket Research?

Run "/install polymarket-research" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.

Is Polymarket Research free?

Yes, Polymarket Research is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.

Which platforms does Polymarket Research support?

Polymarket Research is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).

Who created Polymarket Research?

It is built and maintained by Simmer.Markets (@simmer); the current version is v1.0.0.

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