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Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
200
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-macro-fear-index-trader
Description
Builds a custom fear index from ALL Polymarket markets by aggregating geopolitical escalation, falling crypto, extreme weather, and rising disease signals in...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears coherent for building a fear index and trading via Simmer/Polymarket. Before installing: 1) Verify the simmer-sdk package source and review its permissions (pip packages can contain arbitrary code). 2) Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as a real trading credential — prefer a key with limited scope and start in paper mode to validate behavior. 3) Note the documentation mismatch: it says 'ALL' markets but the implementation fetches a limited set (e.g., limit=200) — if you expect exhaustive coverage, ask the author or audit the code. 4) Keep autostart disabled and require explicit --live to avoid accidental real trades; consider rotating/revoking the API key after testing. If you want extra assurance, have a trusted developer review simmer-sdk usage and the remainder of trader.py (the file was truncated in the package preview).
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-macro-fear-index-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill implements a macro fear index trading strategy for Polymarket using the `simmer-sdk`. It categorizes markets (geopolitical, crypto, health, weather) to calculate a composite fear score and executes trades based on market regimes (Panic, Complacency, Neutral). The code in `trader.py` includes safety features such as defaulting to paper trading (sim mode) and requiring an explicit `--live` flag for real transactions. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found in `SKILL.md` or the source code.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill claims to aggregate Polymarket 'ALL' markets but both SKILL.md and the code reference a bounded retrieval (get_markets(limit=200)). Required pieces (SIMMER_API_KEY, simmer-sdk) are appropriate for trading on Polymarket via the Simmer platform.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py stick to market discovery, classification, scoring, and trading. The runtime instructions and code only reference declared SIMMER_ env vars and the SIMMER_API_KEY. The skill defaults to paper trading and only executes real trades with an explicit --live flag.
Install Mechanism
No custom install script is included; clawhub.json lists a pip dependency (simmer-sdk). This is a standard, expected install vector for an SDK-backed trading skill (moderate trust in the package source is assumed).
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY and SIMMER_ prefixed tunables are used. These are proportional to a trading agent that needs authority to query markets and place orders. No unrelated credentials or system paths are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false and autostart:false; autonomous invocation is allowed by platform default but the skill is safe-by-default (paper mode) and requires explicit --live to place real trades. The skill does not request elevated system-wide privileges.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-macro-fear-index-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-macro-fear-index-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Macro Fear Index Trader skill.
- Aggregates Polymarket market signals across geopolitical, crypto, health, and weather categories to create a custom fear index.
- Automatically detects market regimes (panic, complacency, neutral) and dynamically buys oversold or sells overpriced markets based on fear index thresholds.
- All risk parameters, thresholds, and weights are tunable via environment variables; paper trading mode is default for safety.
- Integrated filters for liquidity, bid-ask spread, and market resolution time; configurable cron and autostart settings.
- Extensive documentation and template structure for customization and extension with other fear signal sources.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader?
Builds a custom fear index from ALL Polymarket markets by aggregating geopolitical escalation, falling crypto, extreme weather, and rising disease signals in... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 200 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-macro-fear-index-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader support?
Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Macro Fear Index Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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