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Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
309
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
6
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-legal-regulatory-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on landmark court cases, antitrust rulings, SEC enforcement actions, EU regulatory decisions, and DOJ investigations. Us...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears internally consistent: it needs only SIMMER_API_KEY and the simmer-sdk package to operate and defaults to paper trading unless you pass --live. Before enabling live trading, verify the authenticity of the simmer-sdk package (PyPI/GitHub repo), store SIMMER_API_KEY securely, test extensively in paper mode, set conservative SIMMER_MAX_POSITION and other tunables, and confirm autostart remains disabled. If you need extra assurance, inspect the remainder of trader.py (untruncated) for any unexpected network endpoints or token handling and verify the simmer-sdk client methods used (find_markets, create_order, get_market_context) do only what you expect.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-legal-regulatory-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a specialized trading bot for Polymarket legal and regulatory markets, using historical legal outcome statistics (e.g., DOJ conviction rates) to size trades. The implementation in `trader.py` is transparent, follows the stated strategy, and includes safety features such as paper-trading by default (venue='sim') unless an explicit `--live` flag is provided. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection were found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill is a Polymarket trading agent and the code and SKILL.md require only a Simmer API key and the simmer-sdk Python package, which aligns with trading functionality. The listed tunables, keywords, and precedent_bias logic are consistent with the stated legal/regulatory trading purpose.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py confine behavior to market discovery, signal computation, and trade execution via SimmerClient. The skill defaults to paper trading and the SKILL.md does not instruct collection of unrelated system files, secrets, or transmission to third-party endpoints outside the Simmer SDK.
Install Mechanism
No custom install script; clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on simmer-sdk (PyPI/GitHub links provided). Pip packages carry standard supply-chain risk but are appropriate and expected for this skill's purpose.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required and is justified (trading authority). The code reads only SIMMER_* tunables in addition to SIMMER_API_KEY; no unrelated credentials or high-privilege environment access are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false and always is false. automaton.managed is true with an entrypoint (normal for a managed skill), but nothing in the manifest forces automatic live trading. The skill can be invoked autonomously by the agent (platform default) — not a red flag by itself.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-legal-regulatory-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-legal-regulatory-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.3
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.2
- Signal logic section expanded to clarify conviction-based sizing, use of documented legal base rates, and a built-in precedent bias multiplier for trade sizing.
- Added detailed table of default bias multipliers for major case types (DOJ, SEC, EU, class action, SCOTUS, etc) based on historical outcomes.
- Tunables section updated with default parameter values for trade sizing, volume/filter thresholds, and market entry logic.
- Enhanced explanation of why documented legal base rates create edge on prediction markets.
- Example and rationale added for how conviction and precedent bias combine for smarter, data-driven trade sizing.
v1.0.1
- Updated author metadata from "snetripp" to "Diagnostikon".
- Version metadata set to "1.0".
- No functional or behavioral changes.
v1.0.0
- Initial release of Legal & Regulatory Trader skill for Polymarket.
- Enables trading on landmark legal and regulatory prediction markets using court filings, regulatory dockets, and enforcement data.
- Features built-in market discovery, trade execution, and safety safeguards (defaults to paper trading; live mode requires explicit flag).
- Integrates with PACER, SEC EDGAR, EU competition dockets, and Courtroom View Network for legal alpha signals.
- All risk parameters are configurable via Simmer UI; trading requires a valid SIMMER_API_KEY.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader?
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on landmark court cases, antitrust rulings, SEC enforcement actions, EU regulatory decisions, and DOJ investigations. Us... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 309 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-legal-regulatory-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader support?
Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket Legal Regulatory Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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