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diagnostikon

Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader

by diagnostikon · GitHub ↗ · v0.0.3 · MIT-0
cross-platform ⚠ suspicious
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Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader
Description
Trades Polymarket prediction markets on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana price milestones, ETF inflows, halving events, and DeFi protocol milestones. Uses three sta...
Usage Guidance
Before installing, note these points: - The code requires a SIMMER_API_KEY and depends on the 'simmer-sdk' Python package even though the skill description/README states 'no external API required'. That description appears to refer only to the bias logic, not the trading plumbing — but the mismatch is confusing and should be clarified. - If you provide an API key, verify what 'Simmer' is and what permissions the API key grants. Use a key with the minimum privileges needed (paper/sim-only key if available) and avoid re-using high-privilege keys from other services. - Inspect or vet the 'simmer-sdk' package (source, maintainers, PyPI page) before installing; dependency packages are a common supply-chain risk. - Run the skill in paper/sim mode first and confirm network endpoints and behaviour. Only enable --live after you confirm the endpoint, the account used, and the intended risk parameters. - Ask the skill author to correct the registry/README so the required env var and pip dependency are explicit and to document the exact API endpoint and recommended key scopes. If you need help checking simmer-sdk or the Simmer vendor, request that information before granting credentials.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill Name: polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader Version: 0.0.3 The skill is a legitimate crypto trading bot for Polymarket that uses the 'simmer-sdk' to execute trades based on market sentiment and on-chain timing signals. The code in trader.py implements the strategy described in SKILL.md, featuring a 'safe by default' paper-trading mode and risk management tunables. No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection were found; the logic is transparent and aligned with its stated purpose.
Capability Tags
cryptorequires-sensitive-credentials
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
The skill is a Polymarket trader so requiring a trading client/API key is reasonable. However, SKILL.md (and the short description) repeatedly state that the on-chain bias uses 'no external API' and that the skill is 'no external API required' — yet clawhub.json and trader.py declare and use a SIMMER_API_KEY and a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. The registry summary omitted the required env var, creating an incoherence between what the skill claims and what it actually needs.
Instruction Scope
The SKILL.md instructions focus on market discovery, conviction sizing, and execution. They do not instruct the agent to read unrelated system files or transmit arbitrary environment data. The skill defaults to paper trading and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades, which is a sensible safety mode.
Install Mechanism
There is no separate install spec in the registry UI, but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency ('simmer-sdk'). A PyPI dependency is a normal mechanism for a trading client, but it is a moderate-risk install source compared with no install. The registry metadata and SKILL.md should explicitly document the dependency and where 'simmer-sdk' comes from (official package name, maintainer).
Credentials
trader.py directly reads os.environ['SIMMER_API_KEY'] and several SIMMER_* tunables. clawhub.json also lists SIMMER_API_KEY in requires.env, but the top-level registry summary omitted required env vars — this mismatch is problematic. Requiring a Simmer API key is proportionate for trade execution, but the code requires it even for paper mode (KeyError will occur if it's missing), so the manifest/README should clearly state that an API key is mandatory and document the key's scope/permissions.
Persistence & Privilege
always:false and autostart:false. The skill provides an automaton entrypoint but does not request forced always-on presence. It does not attempt to modify other skills or system-wide configuration. Autonomous invocation is permitted (disable-model-invocation:false) which is normal for skills; this is not combined with other high-risk flags.
How to Use
  1. Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
  2. Run the install command in chat: /install polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader
  3. After installation, invoke the skill by name or use /polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader
  4. Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.4
Rescan
v1.0.3
Wider thresholds, lower filters, add get_fast_markets + bulk scan, backward-compatible
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
- Updated strategy to use three stacked structural edges (ETF flow timing, BTC halving cycle, Asian session timing) for conviction and risk sizing — no external APIs required. - Expanded and detailed signal logic, including on-chain bias multipliers and detailed market instrumentation tables. - Added comprehensive documentation of market types, halving cycle phases, and session timing for conviction-based sizing. - Revised default tunables and trade thresholds for better risk management in liquid crypto markets. - Clarified and extended keyword monitoring and remix signal ideas for future customization.
v1.0.0
- Initial release of polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader skill. - Enables trading Polymarket markets related to major crypto assets and DeFi milestones using on-chain data as a primary signal. - Includes template strategy combining Polymarket market probabilities with live blockchain metrics for edge. - Supports paper trading mode by default, with live trading enabled via flag. - Risk management and tunables configurable through Simmer UI. - Requires SIMMER_API_KEY for trading authorization. - Built on simmer-sdk by SpartanLabsXyz.
Metadata
Slug polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader
Version 0.0.3
License MIT-0
All-time Installs 0
Active Installs 0
Total Versions 7
Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader?

Trades Polymarket prediction markets on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana price milestones, ETF inflows, halving events, and DeFi protocol milestones. Uses three sta... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 370 downloads so far.

How do I install Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader?

Run "/install polymarket-crypto-onchain-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.

Is Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader free?

Yes, Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.

Which platforms does Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader support?

Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).

Who created Polymarket Crypto Onchain Trader?

It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.

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