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Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
208
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader
Description
Trades structural mispricings in sports over/under markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across multiple O/U line values for the same game...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears internally consistent: it needs a single trading API key (SIMMER_API_KEY) and a PyPI SDK (simmer-sdk) which match its purpose. Before installing: 1) Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value — keep it in a secure secrets store and do not reuse a key with wider privileges. 2) Run only in paper mode first (default) and review logs and simulated trades to verify behavior. 3) If you enable live trading, start with conservative tunables (small SIMMER_MAX_POSITION, low concurrency) and rotate the API key after initial tests. 4) Vet the simmer-sdk PyPI package and its homepage/repos for trustworthiness and recent maintenance. 5) If you need deeper assurance, inspect the remainder of trader.py (trade-execution code paths) and any network calls inside simmer-sdk to confirm no unexpected endpoints or credential forwarding occur.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill bundle implements a legitimate sports arbitrage trading strategy for Polymarket, focusing on detecting mathematical inconsistencies in over/under line curves. The code in trader.py is well-structured, lacks obfuscation, and includes safety features such as a default paper-trading mode and slippage safeguards. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found; the logic strictly follows the stated purpose in SKILL.md.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description claim trading Polymarket O/U curve violations. The skill requires SIMMER_API_KEY and the simmer-sdk Python package (declared in clawhub.json and SKILL.md) which is appropriate for a trading client; no unrelated credentials, binaries, or config paths are requested.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md describes market discovery, curve construction, signal thresholds, and a clear default to paper trading; trader.py implements parsing, curve building, violation detection, and uses SimmerClient for market and trade interactions. Instructions do not ask the agent to read unrelated files or exfiltrate data. Live trading requires an explicit --live flag.
Install Mechanism
No install spec included in the package itself; clawhub.json lists a pip dependency on simmer-sdk (PyPI). Pulling a public PyPI package for a trading SDK is expected for this purpose and is proportionate; no arbitrary URL downloads or archive extraction are present.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (declared). The code also reads tunable parameters from environment but these are optional and used for risk limits. No unrelated secrets (cloud keys, tokens) are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false and always is not set; the skill will not run automatically unless explicitly started or configured. The code does call apply_skill_config when available, but this is limited to the Simmer runtime and is not a cross-skill/system modification.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader v1.0.0
- Initial release!
- Trades sports over/under markets by detecting and arbitraging mathematical inconsistencies in implied probability curves across multiple O/U lines.
- Flags and trades on two violation types: monotonicity breaks (all sports) and set-vs-match inconsistencies (tennis).
- Offers safety features: defaults to paper trading, requires explicit live mode to risk real USDC, and is fully tunable via Simmer UI.
- Fully automatic market discovery, curve construction, violation ranking, and smart trade sizing.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader?
Trades structural mispricings in sports over/under markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across multiple O/U line values for the same game... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 208 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-48h-sports-line-curve-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader support?
Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket 48h Sports Line Curve Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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