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Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
188
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-48h-equity-strike-trader
Description
Trades structural mispricings in equity/stock price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across strike levels for the same compa...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears coherent for a Polymarket trading bot and defaults to paper trading, which is good. Before installing: 1) Review the simmer-sdk PyPI repo (and its GitHub) to verify there are no unexpected network calls or credential usages; 2) Use a limited-scope or simulation-only SIMMER_API_KEY while testing, and keep live trading keys offline until you fully trust the skill; 3) Run the skill in paper mode and inspect logs to verify behavior and that trades only occur when you pass --live; 4) Confirm the owner/repo trustworthiness (source/homepage is unknown here) and consider code-review or running in an isolated environment if you plan to use live funds. I have medium confidence because I can't inspect the simmer-sdk implementation or external runtime behavior from the provided files.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-48h-equity-strike-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a legitimate trading bot designed to detect and trade mathematical inconsistencies (monotonicity and range-sum violations) in Polymarket equity strike-ladder markets. The code in `trader.py` implements clear arbitrage logic using the `simmer-sdk`, follows standard security practices by using environment variables for credentials, and includes a safety-first approach by defaulting to paper trading (`venue='sim'`). No indicators of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or harmful prompt injection were found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (trading arbitrage on Polymarket) matches the code and declared requirements: trader.py uses a Simmer SDK client and expects SIMMER_API_KEY. The tunables and filters are declared in clawhub.json and referenced by the code. No unrelated credentials or binaries are requested.
Instruction Scope
Runtime instructions and trader.py focus on market discovery, parsing, curve construction, violation detection, and trade execution. The code reads only SIMMER_API_KEY and SIMMER_* tunables (all declared). It does not reference other system paths, user files, shell history, or unexpected external endpoints in the provided files.
Install Mechanism
No install script is provided, but clawhub.json declares a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. Installing a third-party PyPI package is a normal dependency but does carry supply-chain risk — you should review the simmer-sdk package source/reputation before installing.
Credentials
Only one primary secret is required: SIMMER_API_KEY (trading authority). The skill also reads multiple SIMMER_* tunables (declared in clawhub.json). These variables are proportionate to a trading skill. No unrelated SECRET/TOKEN variables are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false and the skill does not request always:true. The agent can invoke the skill autonomously (platform default), which is expected. Because the skill can place live trades if run with --live and has access to a trading API key, allowlisting/autonomy policies and key scoping should be considered before enabling autonomous runs.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-48h-equity-strike-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-48h-equity-strike-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 48h Equity Strike Trader.
- Detects and trades violations in implied probability curves for equity/stock price-threshold markets on Polymarket.
- Supports major equities (PLTR, MSFT, NVDA, TSLA, SpaceX, Nasdaq-100, and others).
- Identifies three types of curve violations: monotonicity breaks, range-sum inconsistencies, and bin-sum errors.
- Includes adjustable risk and trade parameters; defaults to paper trading (no live trading unless specified).
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader?
Trades structural mispricings in equity/stock price-threshold markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across strike levels for the same compa... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 188 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-48h-equity-strike-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader support?
Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket 48h Equity Strike Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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