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Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
209
Downloads
0
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0
Active Installs
4
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-48h-cross-asset-sync-trader
Description
Trades cross-asset correlation divergences in 5-minute crypto "Up or Down" markets on Polymarket. When BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP, and BNB have overlapping tim...
Usage Guidance
This skill appears internally consistent for automated Polymarket trading, but take these precautions before installing: (1) Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as a high-value secret — do not store it in shared or public places. (2) Test thoroughly in paper mode (default) and review logs; the code defaults to 'sim' but live trades occur if the script is run with --live. (3) Review the simmer-sdk package source/version before installation (pin a vetted version). (4) If you want to prevent accidental real trades, disable autonomous invocation for this skill or require an explicit human confirmation step before allowing --live execution. (5) Verify tunables (max position, min trade, thresholds) to match your risk tolerance.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-48h-cross-asset-sync-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill is a specialized trading bot designed to exploit price divergences between correlated crypto assets (BTC, ETH, SOL, etc.) in Polymarket's 5-minute 'Up or Down' markets. The code in trader.py implements a clear statistical arbitrage strategy, grouping markets by time window and identifying outliers relative to the group consensus. It includes robust safety features such as a default paper-trading mode (venue='sim'), spread filters, slippage checks, and position limits. No evidence of data exfiltration, malicious execution, or prompt injection was found; the use of the simmer-sdk and SIMMER_API_KEY is consistent with the stated purpose of the skill.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description (Polymarket cross-asset sync trader) match the actual code and declared requirements: clawhub.json and SKILL.md require SIMMER_API_KEY and the Python simmer-sdk, and trader.py implements market discovery, grouping, signal logic, sizing, and trade execution via SimmerClient.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py instruct the agent to discover markets, parse questions, compute group consensus, detect outliers, and place trades. There are no instructions to read unrelated files, access other environment variables, or transmit data to unexpected endpoints beyond the Simmer API client.
Install Mechanism
This is an instruction-only skill with no install script, but clawhub.json lists a pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk'. That is expected for interacting with Simmer, but using unpinned pip packages has the usual supply-chain risk (review the simmer-sdk package/source before trusting).
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (plus tunable envs for sizing). Requesting a single trading API key is proportionate to the stated purpose. The README explicitly labels it high-value and the code only reads these env vars.
Persistence & Privilege
autostart is false and always:false, so nothing runs automatically. However, model invocation is allowed by default and the agent (or an automaton) could run the script with a --live flag to perform real trades if SIMMER_API_KEY is present. Consider gating autonomous invocation or requiring manual confirmation for live mode.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-48h-cross-asset-sync-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-48h-cross-asset-sync-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.1
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.0
Initial release of 48h Cross-Asset Sync Trader skill:
- Detects and trades cross-asset correlation divergences in 5-minute crypto "Up or Down" markets on Polymarket.
- Groups concurrent BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP, and BNB markets by time window, finds consensus, and identifies outlier probabilities.
- Executes trades moving diverged asset probabilities toward group consensus, sizing trades by conviction.
- Includes adjustable risk controls (max position, min volume, spread, thresholds) via tunables.
- Defaults to paper trading mode; live trading only with explicit activation and required API key.
- Built-in safeguards: no trading runs automatically until enabled in UI.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader?
Trades cross-asset correlation divergences in 5-minute crypto "Up or Down" markets on Polymarket. When BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, XRP, and BNB have overlapping tim... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 209 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-48h-cross-asset-sync-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader support?
Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket 48h Cross Asset Sync Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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