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Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader
by
diagnostikon
· GitHub ↗
· v0.0.3
· MIT-0
209
Downloads
0
Stars
0
Active Installs
5
Versions
Install in OpenClaw
/install polymarket-24h-sports-line-curve-trader
Description
Trades structural mispricings in sports over/under markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across multiple O/U line values for the same game...
Usage Guidance
This package appears coherent and does what it says: it discovers O/U markets, detects monotonicity/set-vs-match violations, and uses the simmer-sdk to place paper or live trades. Before installing: (1) Treat SIMMER_API_KEY as high-value — only provide a key with the minimum permissions needed and rotate it if you later remove the skill. (2) Verify the simmer-sdk package provenance (PyPI/GitHub links are provided). (3) Keep the default paper mode while testing; live trading only occurs with an explicit --live flag. (4) If you plan to run autonomously, audit the code path that places orders (present in trader.py) and consider running within a restricted environment to limit blast radius. If you want extra assurance, request a full diff of the remaining truncated portion of trader.py (order placement and any remote calls) to review the exact API calls before enabling live trading.
Capability Analysis
Type: OpenClaw Skill
Name: polymarket-24h-sports-line-curve-trader
Version: 0.0.3
The skill implements a legitimate sports betting arbitrage strategy on Polymarket by detecting mathematical inconsistencies in over/under lines. The code in trader.py uses the simmer-sdk to fetch markets and execute trades based on monotonicity violations and tennis set-vs-match inconsistencies. It includes safety features such as a default paper-trading mode and configurable risk parameters (e.g., SIMMER_MAX_POSITION) in clawhub.json. No indicators of malicious intent, data exfiltration, or unauthorized access were found.
Capability Tags
Capability Assessment
Purpose & Capability
Name/description claim: detect and trade O/U curve violations on Polymarket. Declared dependency (simmer-sdk) and required credential (SIMMER_API_KEY) match that purpose. No unrelated credentials, binaries, or config paths are requested.
Instruction Scope
SKILL.md and trader.py restrict runtime actions to discovering O/U markets, constructing curves, ranking violations, and executing trades through the SimmerClient. The skill defaults to paper mode and requires an explicit --live flag for real trades. There are no instructions to read arbitrary system files, other env vars, or to transmit data to unexpected endpoints.
Install Mechanism
This is an instruction-only skill with a single local Python file and a declared pip dependency on 'simmer-sdk' (PyPI/GitHub links provided in SKILL.md). There is no arbitrary download or archive extraction from unknown hosts.
Credentials
Only SIMMER_API_KEY is required (plus tunables exposed via env). That is proportional: the skill needs an API key to interact with the Simmer trading venue. No extra tokens, secrets, or unrelated service credentials are requested.
Persistence & Privilege
always is false, autostart is false, and the automaton entrypoint is trader.py when managed by Simmer. The skill can be invoked by the agent (normal), but it does not force permanent inclusion or modify other skills' configs according to the provided files.
How to Use
- Make sure OpenClaw is installed (local or Docker)
- Run the install command in chat:
/install polymarket-24h-sports-line-curve-trader - After installation, invoke the skill by name or use
/polymarket-24h-sports-line-curve-trader - Provide required inputs per the skill's parameter spec and get structured output
Version History
v0.0.3
SDK resilience: try/except runt apply_skill_config
v0.0.2
fix: add _client.live=True so --live actually routes to polymarket-venue for real USDC trades
v1.0.2
Fix apply_skill_config AttributeError for new Simmer SDK compatibility
v1.0.1
- Added new metadata fields to the skill manifest: required environment variable (`SIMMER_API_KEY`), required pip package (`simmer-sdk`), default mode (`paper`), and live trading flag (`--live`).
- No changes to code or trading logic.
v1.0.0
- Initial release of 24h Sports Line Curve Trader.
- Detects and trades structural mispricings in sports O/U markets by reconstructing implied probability curves and identifying violations.
- Supports monotonicity checks across O/U lines and tennis set vs match consistency.
- Includes safeguards (paper/live mode, tunable risk parameters, credential requirements).
- Designed for extensibility across multiple sports and O/U market types.
Metadata
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader?
Trades structural mispricings in sports over/under markets by reconstructing the implied probability curve across multiple O/U line values for the same game... It is an AI Agent Skill for Claude Code / OpenClaw, with 209 downloads so far.
How do I install Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader?
Run "/install polymarket-24h-sports-line-curve-trader" in the OpenClaw or Claude Code chat to install it in one step — no extra setup required.
Is Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader free?
Yes, Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader is completely free, licensed under MIT-0. You can download, install and use it at no cost.
Which platforms does Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader support?
Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader is cross-platform and runs anywhere OpenClaw / Claude Code is available (cross-platform).
Who created Polymarket 24h Sports Line Curve Trader?
It is built and maintained by diagnostikon (@diagnostikon); the current version is v0.0.3.
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